One commenter compared Potter‘s performance to The Twilight Saga: New Moon as this is now its second weekend in a row with a 60+ percentage drop. It’s an apt comparison in terms of numbers. Does this mean we should expect a 48% drop next week?
Or perhaps an even better question is to wonder how does this bode for Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2? I have a feeling Part 2 will actually end up being the highest grossing Potter, which isn’t exactly going out on a limb since it will be in 3D, but I think it would achieve that goal no matter what simply due to the fact it’s the last in the series and because I expect it will be the best of the series, especially if you consider the two parts as one whole.
As for user predictions, only two people felt comfortable going below $20 million and Gophers Attack! was the closest with $18.8 million. Nice work.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $20.62 million, which is $3.92m off for a 23.47% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $5.92 million, which is $0.18m off for a 2.95% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $5.68 million, which is $0.42m off for a 6.89% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $5.36 million, which is $0.34m off for a 5.96% error.
It was reported earlier this week DreamWorks was looking at a total of six Kung Fu Panda films, two more films in the How to Train Your Dragon franchise and even a likely fourth Madagascar film after Madagascar 3 in May 2012. Why not toss a Megamind 2 in for good measure now that the Shrek franchise has run its course?
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $6.52 million, which is $1.52m off for a 30.4% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $3.23 million, which is $0.97m off for a 23.1% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $3.24 million, which is $0.56m off for a 14.74% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $4.5 million, which is $1.5m off for a 50% error.
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked
As for the film I’m sure you’re all wondering about, Darren Aronofsky’s new release, Black Swan, opened in 18 theaters and earned a highly impressive $1.3 million for a $77,444 per theater average. Now that is called killing it. The film expands into more theaters next weekend, and you can click here to see when it’s coming your way.
Continuing on the limited release track, Danny Boyle’s 127 Hours with $1.6 million from 433 theaters for a per theater average of $3,695. Summit’s Fair Game is still performing modestly in limited release with $1 million from 436 theaters.
In its second weekend, The King’s Speech added two theaters to grow to playing in a whopping six and made $326,000 for a $54,333 per theater average. I Love You, Phillip Morris opened this weekend, also played in six theaters and made $113,000 for an $18,833 average. And finally, All Good Things played in two theaters and made $40,000 and I will let you figure out the per theater average on that one as I don’t think I need to tell you.
Now it’s time for your comments, there’s a lot to talk about with the numbers above, but next weekend sees the release of The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader and The Tourist as the weekend’s two big wide releases. How will they fair? I can tell you I saw Narnia on Saturday morning and it is a much better film than the first two and I expect reviews will definitely reflect that.
In limited release you have The Fighter and The Tempest. Anyone care to place a wager on how those two will perform in five and four theaters respectively?
