The big story this week is The Lorax as it simply shattered expectations and became quite the box-office monster. So let’s have a look.
Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax
As far as predictions go, Laremy’s $37.8 million was clearly low, but looking over the reader predictions and no one was expecting this one to do this kind of a number. The closest prediction on the board belonged to Arthur Carlson and even he was $22 million off with a $48 million prediction.
RottenTomatoes Score: 59%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $37.8 million was $32.9m off for a percentage error of 46.53%.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $18 million, which is $2.7m off for a 13.04% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $13.4 million, which is $0.3m off for a 2.19% error.
Well, with an $85 million production budget it still has some work to do to become profitable if you ascribe to the two-times multiplier rule (though it’s probably closer to a 3-times multiplier for a film to be profitable).
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5 million, which is $2.2m off for a 30.56% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $6.7 million, which is $0.3m off for a 4.29% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $7.4 million, which is $0.5m off for a 7.25% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $4.4 million, which is $1.7m off for a 27.87% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $4.2 million, which is $1.4m off for a 25% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $4.8 million, which is $0.1m off for a 2.13% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $5.5 million, which is $1.6m off for a 41.03% error.
There is actually a lot to talk about in terms of Oscar contenders seeing big bumps beginning with Foreign Language winner A Separation, which added 160 theaters and pulled in $1 million, a 173.5% increase over last weekend. Meryl Streep’s The Iron Lady lost 11 theaters and still saw a 29.5% bump to $900,000 and the Best Documentary winner, Undefeated added 7 theaters and saw a 336.5% increase to $84,300.
Next week sees the release of John Carter along with a slew of other films. I’m curious, anyone want to make some early predictions?