Weekend Box-Office: ‘Twilight: Breaking Dawn’ Takes #1 While Independents Score Big Numbers

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Well, I guess to expect The Muppets to compete with The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1 after Friday’s results was folly as Jim Henson’s creations were no match for the human vs. vampire story with Kermit and friends hardly making a dent over Saturday and Sunday. Let’s look a little closer.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 2 Weeks In A Row

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1
The fourth film in the Twilight franchise is now over $220 million domestically and $489 million worldwide. It’s a success and I really have nothing more to say.

Weekend: $42.0 million (-69.6% drop)
Cummulative Total: $221.3 million
RottenTomatoes Score: 27%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $46.05 million was $4.05m off for a percentage error of 9.64%.
I was being a knucklehead expecting The Muppets to take their $12.3 million Friday and turning it into $40 million. However, with an A CinemaScore, a 98% RottenTomatoes rating and $42 million in their first five days this one should show solid legs and hold on well next weekend. I’m curious, though, will holding on be a 28% dip or 35+%?

As for predictions, Laremy wanted it to go high as I did, but it just couldn’t manage. John PT, however, was close with a $31.6 million prediction.

Weekend: $29.5 million / Cume: $42 million / RottenTomatoes: 98%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $44.07 million, which is $14.57m off for a 49.39% error.
Only a 36.8% tumble isn’t actually too bad for this film considering how bad it actually is and considering the fact it was opening against two other films aimed at children and it even managed to beat Arthur Christmas, the MUCH better film.
Weekend: $13.4 million (-36.8% drop) / Cume: $43.7 million / RottenTomatoes: 42%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $15.92 million, which is $2.52m off for a 18.81% error.
Familiarity is obviously key as audiences would rather go see dreck like Happy Feet Two in its second miserable weekend than go see something fresh like Arthur Christmas. I’ll never understand.

Laremy was high on this one as well were most of the readers with gripmonster’s $15 million ended up being closest.

Weekend: $12.7 million / Cume: $17 million / RottenTomatoes: 92%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $16.88 million, which is $4.18m off for a 32.91% error.
5. Hugo
Outside of the big boys there were still some success stories this weekend. Of course, Hugo‘s success depends on how you look at it. Carrying a budget I’ve seen pegged from $130-170+ million, this film is going to lose a lot of money unless it scores major numbers overseas. However, opening in only 1,277 it almost managed to beat Arthur Christmas which was in 3,376 theaters.

It’s the one new release able to top Laremy’s prediction though John Debono was on it with his $13.1 million prediction.

Weekend: $11.3 million / Cume: $15.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 97%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $7.66 million, which is $3.64m off for a 32.21% error.
Only a 12% drop and it’s now up to $57.4 million. It would make me laugh so hard if this was able to crack $100 million.
Weekend: $10.3 million (-12% drop) / Cume: $57.4 million / RottenTomatoes: 4%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $6.2 million, which is $4.1m off for a 39.81% error.
A solid movie and one I would recommend to people. My only suggestion is to enjoy it for what it is and don’t go in looking for too much.
Weekend: $8.8 million (-28.5% drop) / Cume: $68.6 million / RottenTomatoes: 35%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $6.35 million, which is $2.45m off for a 27.84% error.
Do you see Puss in Boots as one of the five animated feature film Oscar nominees?
Weekend: $7.4 million (-31.5% drop) / Cume: $135.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 82%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $7.6 million, which is $0.2m off for a 2.7% error.
I received my For Your Consideration screener of Tower Heist this weekend. I don’t think I’ll be watching that one, but what are the best Comedy and Musicals this year? What will the Golden Globes nominate beyond Bridesmaids? Probably The Muppets, but what else?
Weekend: $7.3 million (2.8% increase) / Cume: $65.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 69%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $4.18 million, which is $3.12m off for a 42.74% error.
Boom! Look at that percentage increase from last weekend. From 29 theaters last weekend to 433 theaters this weekend, The Descendants scored $7.2 million and a $16,628 per theater average. Are we looking at the Best Picture front-runner?
Weekend: $7.2 million (505% increase) / Cume: $10.7 million / RottenTomatoes: 91%
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked

The success stories don’t end there as My Week With Marilyn opened in 244 theaters and brought in $1.77 million ($7,266 pta), The Artist opened in four theaters and took home $210,000 ($52,500 pta) and A Dangerous Method also opened in four theaters and brought in $182,000 ($45,500).

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