Unfortunately, this weekend saw Laremy’s seven week string of picking the #1 movie correctly come to an end, but there’s still some good cheer to spread. Let’s get to it.
Tracking had this one at $28-30 million for the five-day and it sailed right by those numbers.
Additionally, True Grit‘s reported budget was $33 million… not bad for an indie when you make almost $4 million more than your budget in your first five days of release. Will this end up being the Coens’ first $100 million feature? No Country for Old Men is their highest grossing to date at $74 million… It’s got to beat that right? Personally I’m guessing at something closer to $80-90 million, how about you?
I was happy to see a lot of people predicting more than $20 million for this one and a lot of folks were in the $22 million range, but cineJAB’s $24 million pick takes the cake.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $21.33 million, which is $4.27m off for a 16.68% error.
I’ll say we’re now looking at something like $130-140 domestically. However, international numbers will be the test here and Box-Office Mojo says those are already totaling $23 million. Will we see another one? I hope so… I want better.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 with $28.62 million, which is $8.52m off for a 42.39% error.
Foreign dollars on this bad boy are currently listed at $128 million and climbing. Maybe we will see another Narnia movie as the worldwide film market is now playing just as big of a role as domestic in some cases… if not more.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $10.03 million, which is $0.77m off for a 7.13% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $12.31 million, which is $3.51m off for a 39.89% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $10.31 million, which is $1.81m off for a 21.29% error.
A lot of readers didn’t even bother predicting how well this one would do over the two days, but those that did went a little high. I’m thinking that’s due to a bit of confusion, thinking three days instead of two. However, the closest prediction came from John Debono with $8.7 million, besting Winchester’s prediction by only $100,000.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $9.6 million, which is $2.4m off for a 33.33% error.
On a side note, this is now Darren Aronofsky’s highest grossing domestic release. Black Swan is now at $29 million, which is $2.8 million more than The Wrestler made. Of course, it’s in double the theaters of The Wrestler and once Aronofsky releases The Wolverine in 2012 the conversation will be over in that film’s first day… but let’s enjoy it while we can.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $11.62 million, which is $5.02m off for a 76.06% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $5.3 million, which is $1.2m off for a 18.46% error.
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked
Ah ha, the moment you’ve been waiting for, the respectable indie film corner! First up, the new releases.
Sofia Coppola’s Somewhere was released into seven theaters this weekend and wins the per theater award as it made $142,000 for the three-day, $20,286 per theater. This is a film unlikely to make much of a splash in theaters due to its highly minimalist nature, but it’s nice to see the supporters turning out.
Next is Sylvain Chomet’s The Illusionist, which made $50,600 from three theaters for a $16,867 per theater average. This one opened along with Gulliver’s Travels on Christmas, so we’re looking at a two day total here as well. I plan on watching this one again today or tomorrow before I finish working on my top ten of 2010.
Finally, on the new release side, Screen Gems released the Gwyneth Paltrow starrer Country Strong into two theaters and made a meager $17,300. You do the math on the per theater count.
The Weinstein Co. added 657 theaters to The King’s Speech‘s run on Saturday bringing it to 700 theaters total where it made $4.5 million and ended up 11th for the weekend. Probably could have made the top ten had they expanded on Friday.
Fox Searchlight made another $205,000 on 127 Hours from 115 theaters and Lionsgate’s Rabbit Hole added 29 theaters and came away with $95,200.
As for next weekend, it’s indie city as Another Year, Biutiful, Blue Valentine and The Way Back all hit limited theaters. Anyone care to guess at how well they’ll do and how well the top ten will shake out next weekend? Will True Grit maintain a strong hold? Will Little Fockers plummet? Comment away directly below.
