Box-Office Wrap-Up: ‘Inception’ Opening Weekend Scores $64 Million

ON
So Inception performed as I thought it would, even with all the mixed messages and hype surrounding the film. Winchester, Imaringer, Sebastian, and Ian had nice calls. But you’ve got to appreciate that sparkly $.27m I was off. Let’s break it down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 5 Weeks In A Row
Did you see it? Did you enjoy it? We’ve been discussing it over email the past week, it’s the film that keeps on giving. As for the box office outlook, it’s not great unless these legs are long. A $60m opening suggests something around $200m in domestic box office unless word-of-mouth is off the charts. Bright side: it might be.

The production budget is listed at $160m, meaning that clearly $200m isn’t going to cut it. So we go to the international take and what do we find? Perhaps another bright side, the films that tend to have a nice multiplier overseas are spectacles: Titanic, Dark Knight, Lord of the Rings, Alice in Wonderland. Verdict: it’s too soon to tell.

But here’s the thing Brad clued me into which made a ton of sense. Inception wasn’t even about the money for Warner Bros. It was about thanking Nolan for The Dark Knight and getting Nolan to make Batman 3. And if that’s the only goal… success!

Result: $60.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #1 and my prediction of $60.67 million was $0.27m off for a percentage error of 0.45%.
I really hope a few of you guzzled this one this weekend. It was decent 3-D too.
Result: $32.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $34.08 million, which is $1.38m off for a 4.22% error.
Not a nice result. The budget is listed at $150m. That’s about $125m too high if they are looking to make some cash. Sorry Disney. Try again next time.
Result: $17.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $21.02 million, which is $3.72m off for a 21.5% error.
Almost $500m worldwide on a budget of $70m. Kudos.
Result: $13.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $15.61 million, which is $2.21m off for a 16.49% error.
$584m worldwide on a $200m production budget. And the DVD and Blu-ray should do outstanding.
Result: $11.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $11.56 million, which is $0.14m off for a 1.2% error.
Wins the coveted “best holdover” award. Nothing new was released against it, and it cashed in.
Result: $10 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $9.82 million, which is $0.18m off for a 1.8% error.
People seem pretty upset with this film. It felt like a pretty typical children’s movie to me though, nothing to get too angry about. Could it be the appreciation for the source material that has people outraged?
Result: $7.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $6.99 million, which is $0.41m off for a 5.54% error.
Disaster. A 73 percent drop, right around the 30th biggest drop of all-time.
Result: $6.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $11.88 million, which is $5.08m off for a 74.71% error.
It was the worst weekend we’ve had in July, but it was still better than all but two weekends in May / June combined.
Result: $3.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $4.81 million, which is $1.11m off for a 30% error.
Strong demographic competition finally beat it down, a 59 percent bleed.
Result: $2.2 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $2.6 million, which is $0.4m off for a 18.18% error.

How say you? Delighted or disappointed with Inception‘s haul? Sad to see Disney get mauled? And any other deep thoughts on the weekend? Weigh in now or forever hold your peace!

Check out our new Box-Office charts here and
subscribe to our updated Box-Office RSS feed here