Right now Toy Story 3 is running wild all over the competition. It’ll crack $200m in worldwide cume today, and it should jump into 6th place all-time for Pixar on the domestic charts this weekend, passing Wall-E. Speaking of this weekend … let’s break this thing down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Week In A Row
But it’s not great news for everyone else. Audiences have been punishing all the average work being foisted upon them. Knight and Day opened below $4m on Wednesday, but I don’t put too much stock in that number. It will do $8,500 per theater based on the Cruise / Diaz factor.
Prediction: $26.33 million
3. Grown Ups
Here’s the film that has no bottom. It’s getting savaged by critics, which wouldn’t matter if it were Transformers. It’s not. Only three million people are still into Kevin James hitting a tree at full speed.
Prediction: $24 million
A shining example of how to do business this summer. Keep the budget low, take some government subsidies (from China), and crush it with the families. Well played, Sony.
Prediction: $17.54 million
5. The A-Team
It’s on a pretty established trendline at this point, so I should be dialed in here.
Prediction: $8.1 million
7. Killers
My bottom four films are within $.6m of each other and you know what that means … dartboard central!
Prediction: $3.05 million
Here’s the outline for how not to do business. A massively bloated production budget, no real script, and released into the teeth of demographic competition. The international dollars helped, but the U.S. sunk it.
Prediction: $2.57 million
9. Jonah Hex
Brad was right on with this one, it was simply a case of poor execution. Make a bad movie, get smacked at the box office. Feels like justice.
Prediction: $2.53 million
Unfortunately this will be off the board when the final verdict comes in, as international dollars will make or break this little DreamWorks title.
Prediction: $2.41 million
That’s my take at least, a top twelve near $167m, quite a drop from last weekend. How say you? I could see real movement out of the new releases, these opening weekend numbers are getting downright tricky. Comment away!
