This could be a race. The reviews on Sex and the City 2 are largely negative, and it comes out a day earlier than Prince of Persia, which will bleed some of the weekend total. Keep in mind these are Fri-Sun predictions, you’ll have to come up with your own calls for Memorial Day!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 13 Weeks In A Row
It has more theaters than Sex and the City 2, but it’s not a very good movie, which will hurt it with word of mouth. It’s just an effects film, and fantasy history doesn’t have a great recent track record. I’m opening this one below Clash of the Titans because it’s not in 3-D.
Prediction: $51.04 million
A 44 percent drop, but only because people need something to see this weekend. If it weren’t for the holiday this would be a doomed movie.
Prediction: $39.74 million
4. Iron Man 2
$525m made on a budget of $200m. Still some work to do, but it should pass the original’s $585m … right?
Prediction: $12.77 million
5. Robin Hood
Losing theaters this weekend, which begs the question: what distributors can get out of showing a film after only two weekends?
Prediction: $10.3 million
I should probably drop it more than 33.5 percent. But there will be some SatC 2 run-off and it started so low it doesn’t have too far to fall.
Prediction: $6.41 million
7. MacGruber
MacGruber is losing five theaters after only one weekend! The production budget here was only $10m, so it won’t be that large of a debacle. Just a few million lost for Universal.
Prediction: $2.42 million
8. Just Wright
Needs $10m more to crack the top ten of basketball films. I wouldn’t bet on it.
Prediction: $1.68 million
9. Date Night
And so we close the book on Date Night, a film that probably earned a few bucks with a $142m worldwide cume on a $55m production budget.
Prediction: $1.44 million
10. Kites
Nightmare on Elm Street or How to Train Your Dragon could also grab this slot, but it’s a battle for less than half a percent of ticket buyers.
Prediction: $0.6 million
How say you? Anyone bold enough to take Prince of Persia in the top slot? Stranger things have happened, though I’d be sad to see the streak go.
