Predicting What Will be Crowned the Summer 2010 Box-Office Champ?

Thursday night at midnight thousands of people will be rushing off to see Iron Man 2, effectively kicking off the domestic summer box-office race and from what I heard this morning, 810 of the midnight showings for Iron Man 2 were already sold out. Is this a sign of a Summer 2010 Box-Office Champ in the making or just a teaser of what’s to come?

Seeing how I am not the one around RopeofSilicon.com that does the box-office prognosticating I turned to the RopeofSilicon Box-Office Oracle, Laremy Legel, and asked him to deliver a list as to how he sees the summer playing out. I asked him to rank the films in order of which summer release (films released between May 7 and August 27) will gross the most overall as well as include what he believes the opening weekend will be for each.

Of course, he is working purely on assumed information as theater counts are not yet available, reviews haven’t been released, etc. But he has kindly offered up an impressive list of 24 of this summer’s films for us to evaluate and judge.

Based on his calculations, Paramount’s Iron Man 2 will be the summer’s box-office champ with an overall domestic cume of $472 million. At the same time he sees Summit’s The Twilight Saga: Eclipse taking the opening weekend crown with $155 million.

Now remember, with the numbers below we are dealing purely with domestic numbers. These are not worldwide projections. I have ranked them in order of overall domestic box-office and marked in red Laremy’s projected largest opening weekend and overall earner.

Take a look below and then weigh in with your predictions for the summer and stay tuned as Laremy will be here himself tomorrow with this weekend’s official predictions as the 2010 Summer Movie Season is upon us. I know your first instinct will be to point out one or two things you disagree with, but perhaps make a top ten of your own as well and see how things shape out…

  1. Iron Man 2 (5/7) — $147m Opening; $472m Total
  2. Toy Story 3 (6/18) — $95m Opening; $387m Total
  3. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse (6/30)$155m Opening; $285m Total
  4. Shrek Forever After (5/21) — $82m Opening; $262m Total
  5. Robin Hood (5/14) — $65m Opening; $235m Total
  6. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time (5/28) — $68m Opening; $235m Total
  7. Sex and the City 2 (5/27) — $77m Opening; $212m Total
  8. Inception (7/16) — $39m Opening; $188m Total
  9. The Karate Kid (6/11) — $48m Opening; $185m Total
  10. Despicable Me (7/9) — $45m Opening; $185m Total
  11. The A-Team (6/11) — $55m Opening; $175m Total
  12. Salt (7/23) — $62m Opening; $133m Total
  13. The Last Airbender (7/2) — $28m Opening; $125m Total
  14. Jonah Hex (6/18) — $40m Opening; $118m Total
  15. Grown Ups (6/25) — $27m Opening; $105m Total
  16. Predators (7/9) — $42m Opening; $105m Total
  17. Knight and Day (6/25) — $39m Opening; $98m Total
  18. The Sorcerer’s Apprentice (7/16) — $28m Opening; $85m Total
  19. The Other Guys (8/6) — $27m Opening; $84m Total
  20. MacGruber (5/21) — $32m Opening; $80m Total
  21. Scott Pilgrim vs. the World (8/13) — $22m Opening; $80m Total
  22. Get Him to the Greek (6/4) — $23m Opening; $78m Total
  23. The Expendables (8/13) — $25m Opening; $57m Total
  24. Step Up 3D (8/6) — $15m Opening; $48m Total

If you haven’t done so yet, you can check out my right here.

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