The R-rated film falls to the family friendly film as Madagascar 3 puts a $10 million whoopin’ on Prometheus. Yet, the results of both films are solid and Prometheus, in fact, enjoyed a larger per theater opening than Madagascar, but let’s save the numbers for the breakdown and let’s get into that right now…
Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted
What I also find intriguing is the 76% rating at RottenTomatoes. There wasn’t a single person I spoke to at Cannes that went to Madagascar 3 that had a positive thing to say about it, two people actually vehemently hated it. Not sure what the difference was when the rest of the community weighed in, but clearly there is a difference of opinions between those I spoke with and those that contribute to the Tomatometer (which has always been a questionable bunch beyond the “top” critics).
When it comes to predictions, Laremy obviously chose the wrong weekend to vote against the family dollar. If he had reversed his numbers he would have almost been spot on for both. As is, his streak is broken and will need to start again next week.
On the reader side, Antonio A is the winner with the closest prediction of $62 million narrowly edging out Marion Antoinette.
RottenTomatoes Score: 76%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 and his prediction of $52.5 million was $7.8m off for a percentage error of 12.94%.
Confronted with a “B” CinemaScore following its Friday debut where it scored $3.561 million from midnight screenings and an additional $17.8 million over the rest of the day, Prometheus dipped 25% on Saturday and didn’t blow the doors off on Sunday either, but the result is being considered a success, especially by Fox, which undervalued its opening down to $30-35 million heading into the weekend.
Carrying a $125 million budget thanks to UK tax credits, Prometheus looks like it may actually come out on top, which may be good news for those of us interested in a sequel. The film has done big numbers overseas and if it can hold on for a couple of weeks we might be able to get a second ambiguous journey through the stars in a few years from Sir Ridley Scott.
As for predictions, John-PT narrowly missed the mark with a $50.7 million prediction. Hard to top that.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 with $59.4 million, which is $9.4m off for a 18.8% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $26.1 million, which is $3.1m off for a 13.48% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $16.9 million, which is $3.4m off for a 25.19% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $10.9 million, which is $0.1m off for a 0.93% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $3.4 million, which is $0.2m off for a 6.25% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $2.7 million and he was exactly right!
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $2.1 million, which is $0.1m off for a 4.55% error.
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $2.2 million, which is $0.1m off for a 4.76% error.
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked
And now we come to next weekend where Adam Sandler’s latest film, That’s My Boy, faces off against Rock of Ages, the latter of which I have actually heard nothing but positive things about and will be finding out for myself tomorrow night.
For those of you wishing to place some early predictions on those two, Adam Sandler’s ability to churn out $100 million domestic earners was not met with Jack and Jill last year and I haven’t heard anyone excited about seeing what looks like a comedic abomination.
As for Rock of Ages, solid early buzz, the success of Hairspray and a fleet of stars is likely to get it the win, not to forget, That’s My Boy is rated R.
I’m also curious how you think Prometheus will do next weekend. Personally I don’t think it will dip too far, maybe pull something like $30-34 million next weekend, largely due to what I expect will be discussion all week concerning what it was all about. Let’s hear your thoughts on these matters below.
