While we were in Cannes Brad asked me to throw out a number for Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides. I went with $106m, a number that now looks around 25 percent heavy. Whoops. That’s what I get for not factoring in the overall decline of the franchise. Let’s break it down!
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 3 Weeks In A Row
2. Thor
$357m worldwide on a budget of $150m means this little gamble paid off, especially given the main goal had to be getting Avengers near $750m worldwide. Paramount is playing the long game.
Prediction: $22.56 million
3. Bridesmaids
The great untold story of last weekend was that Bridesmaids was the champion of the weekend … per theater. Shoulda put that bad boy in 3-D, eh?
Prediction: $18.62 million
4. Fast Five
$458m on $125m means that they’ll throw money at whomever they need to to ensure F6st and Fa7t. They are playing with house money.
Prediction: $12.27 million
5. Priest
Still, it had to have been better than The Tourist, right? They played Salt and The Tourist back to back on my flight back from France. I tried to walk out.
Prediction: $5.83 million
6. Rio
Another hit, $433m on a $90m production budget. Looks like Eisenberg can demand a voiceover raise.
Prediction: $5.44 million
The budget was just too high for this sort of project.
Prediction: $3.78 million
This, on the other hand, was made for a fiscally responsible $6.6m. Which means it is all profit from here on out.
Prediction: $3.5 million
It’s not going to hit $70m domestically, but it’s got a great shot at $100m worldwide.
Prediction: $2.43 million
How say you? Wanna go higher or lower on Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides? Have a different idea on Thor or Bridesmaids? Predictions away!
