Last weekend ticket sales went bonkers, old school bonkers, the biggest weekend since July. We’ll see a slight downturn this time around, but amazingly the weekend offers three new releases that don’t overlap with any recent holdover target markets. For the record it goes: Animation, Action, Sci-Fi, Comedy, Romantic Comedy, Drama. Nice scheduling Hollywood! Let’s break this thing down.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Week In A Row
2. Unstoppable
This will open lower than Pelham 1 2 3, even though it is not rated R. People might be over the whole “Action Train!” movie movement.
Prediction: $21.175 million
3. Skyline
I wonder about the decision not to screen it for anyone. Was it just a financial call? Or are they hiding it?
Prediction: $19.474 million
4. Due Date
First things first, kudos to Ian’s Bingo on Due Date last Thursday. Those are hard to come by. As for Due Date the film, I remain troubled by that $65m budget. That feels about two times too high.
Prediction: $18.687 million
The million dollar Wednesday portends bad news. But the date night demographic has to go somewhere.
Prediction: $11.96 million
A 45 percent bleed, nothing to be too bent out of shape about.
Prediction: $10.724 million
7. Red
$99m worldwide on a $58m budget. Looks like Summit will survive to fight another day.
Prediction: $6.376 million
8. Saw 3D
I’d say the results of Saw 2, 3, and 4 won’t ever be reached again.
Prediction: $3.092 million
$144m worldwide on a $3m budget. Quick, everyone buy some editing software and a video camera!
Prediction: $3.024 million
10. Jackass 3D
$131m worldwide on a $20m budget. Quick, everyone buy some editing software, a video camera, and some insurance!
Prediction: $2.758 million
That’s all I got. How say you? Do you dare call a different film at the top? Am I too low on the new releases? Brad will be back on Sunday morning to wrap you up like a Christmas present.
