Box-Office Wrap-Up: Sep. 10 – Sep. 12, 2010

ON
2009 saw exactly zero weekends this bad, as I mentioned on Thursday the last sub $70m weekend was the opening weekend of September 2008. Still, we owe it to posterity to break this one down, if only for the archives.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Weeks In A Row
I had it diminishing ten percent but it actually was up almost twenty percent. Which means it was actually flat in terms of actual tickets sold, but the 3-D premium allowed them to make some extra cash.

Did anyone see this? Could there be a sequel in the works?

My one concern here is the listed $60m production budget. These Resident Evil films tend to be massively frontloaded. The bright side is they also tend to bank internationally. So I suppose the news is mostly positive for Milla and the gang.

Result: $27.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #1 and my prediction of $21.46 million was $6.24m off for a percentage error of 22.53%.
0.15 percent is not much to be off. I’m a bit of a Takers expert.
Result: $6.1 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $6.091 million, which is $0.0089999999999995m off for a 0.15% error.
Oh, I almost forgot, John-PT gets the victory for his $28.2m call on Resident Evil: Afterlife. As for The American, it fell 55 percent, which proves you can only get away with action-packed trailers for a drama on opening weekend.
Result: $5.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $6.747 million, which is $0.947m off for a 16.33% error.
A 63 percent drop, which was more than I thought but not insane. Fans of this sort of film tend to go opening weekend.
Result: $4.2 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $5.153 million, which is $0.953m off for a 22.69% error.
About what we thought it was. A shame, given it made me laugh.
Result: $3.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $3.855 million, which is $0.055m off for a 1.45% error.
That $100m budget still looms. They should have paid everyone involved less.
Result: $3.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $3.435 million, which is $0.165m off for a 4.58% error.
The budget was nothing, and it’s made almost $40m. A win.
Result: $3.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $3.139 million, which is $0.261m off for a 7.68% error.
Did well internationally so they are probably set.
Result: $3.2 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $4.467 million, which is $1.267m off for a 39.59% error.
$700m for Inception! Drinks all around!
Result: $3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.822 million, which is $0.822m off for a 27.4% error.
I was thinking about Franco on Thursday’s riddle, but y’all are dead on about Bardem. He could make some noise this Oscar season too.
Result: $2.9 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $3.093 million, which is $0.193m off for a 6.66% error.

And so a very slow box office weekend closes. Did you venture outside your house? I know I didn’t. But I’m really looking forward to next weekend, four wide releases to get our fall season started right.

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