It’s an interesting weekend, not because the winner will be massive, but because whatever the result we’ll learn something about the ticket buyers. They’ll either support a reboot/remake sort of thing or spend money on an original idea. 3-D will get a win or Robert Rodriguez will build his brand. And the smaller titles are interesting too: Will Eclipse drop 70 percent? How much will The Last Airbender be hurt by Despicable Me taking 3-D theaters away? Let’s break it down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 3 Weeks In A Row
It’s not great, but it’s not terrible either. It’s a tweener. I’m equating this one to Rambo, which opened at $18m, though of course that was in January. This one will do better, but only by a smidge.
Prediction: $22.95 million
It’s already hit $300m worldwide, so they’ll be able to afford the $75m in contracts for the trio to finish off the series. I’m dipping it 67 percent, but only because it scooped up another $35m on Monday through Wednesday sales.
Prediction: $21.39 million
It should fall the most of any title that’s not in The Twilight Saga. The 3-D here was another crime, post-production profiteering at its finest.
Prediction: $18.55 million
5. Toy Story 3
It won’t pass Finding Nemo this weekend, but it should do so by Thursday of next week. And no, I’m not going to throw inflation at you, don’t worry.
Prediction: $15.52 million
6. Grown Ups
The budget was $80m, and it will clear $100m worldwide this weekend. That’s not great news for Sony.
Prediction: $9.71 million
No hope of profit at the box office unless Cameron Diaz goes door to door selling tickets. And maybe not even then.
Prediction: $4.86 million
Has anyone out there caught The ‘Kung Fu’ Kid overseas? Now that’s a poster I’d like to own.
Prediction: $3.54 million
Once the actuals were in for last weekend it finished in eleventh. But this weekend it gains theaters and a tiny bit of momentum.
Prediction: $2 million
10. The A-Team
They are probably wishing they’d shown it in 3-D.
Prediction: $1.05 million
How say you? Anyone want to take Predators at the top? Am I too low on the weekend? And what do you make of the holdover chances for Eclipse and Shyamalan? Comment early, comment often!