It’s all about Eclipse this weekend, and it’s an interesting call either way. Other topics of note include The Last Airbender and Toy Story 3‘s potential final domestic number. Let’s break it down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 2 Weeks In A Row
2. Toy Story 3
Needs another $90m to catch Finding Nemo‘s domestic crown, but Nemo did nearly double its business after the opening 13 days. It’s helped by the scathing reviews of The Last Airbender, and it will put another $35m towards the total this weekend. If it can fade Despicable Me for the family dollar after that it should be home free.
Prediction: $35.48 million
I’m giving it $10k per theater, but it’s a toughie to call. It did $3m at midnight today, but it should fade fast once word-of-mouth pounces.
Prediction: $31.69 million
4. Grown Ups
It will drop 52 percent a la the average Sandler comedy.
Prediction: $19.44 million
A friend emailed me that I shouldn’t have put this was “fading fast” but with a production budget nearing $120m, with another $70m or so for marketing thrown in, $45m in worldwide cume isn’t exactly tearing it up.
Prediction: $10.89 million
Where are all the international dollars we were promised? Ah, I see, plenty of markets are getting in in the next six weeks, which should make it an exceptionally profitable little picture.
Prediction: $6.46 million
7. The A-Team
And now we’re down to the table scraps of Oracle …
Prediction: $2.04 million
These last three numbers are brutal. Don’t hold it against me.
Prediction: $0.786 million
9. Jonah Hex
Seriously, predicting movies with numbers this low seems altogether pointless.
Prediction: $0.737 million
Hey Hollywood, make movies that cost less money!
Prediction: $0.732 million
That’s all I’ve got. Numbers anywhere from $60m to $120m could come in for Eclipse, it’s a real stumper, and Airbender is another new release prediction nightmare. So throw your two cents in, before I retire!