Nikke Finke called for $40m on Friday. Brad threw out a $35m on Saturday. But when the numbers came in A Nightmare on Elm Street stumbled a bit, earning $32m. It’s the same story for most horror films — highly frontloaded and focused on Friday night. Still, it won the weekend with ease, kudos there. Let’s break it down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 9 Weeks In A Row
Dat’s a bingo! And here we have a clear counterexample of a film that isn’t at all frontloaded. Dragon opened at $43.7m, which should have meant a total around $135m domestically, but it’s at $192m and still going strong. Impressive work.
Result: $10.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $10.76 million, which is $0.04m off for a 0.37% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $10.76 million, which is $0.04m off for a 0.37% error.
3. Date Night
I’m definitely looking forward to the Date Night Criterion Collection.
Result: $7.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $6.38 million, which is $1.22m off for a 16.05% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $6.38 million, which is $1.22m off for a 16.05% error.
The weekend was actually up around two percent from last weekend… but it was still the second slowest of the year.
Result: $7.2 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $5.85 million, which is $1.35m off for a 18.75% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $5.85 million, which is $1.35m off for a 18.75% error.
Absolutely crushed. Whatever money they spent here is looking like a loss. People have had it with Brendan Fraser in kiddie fare.
Result: $6.5 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $11.8 million, which is $5.3m off for a 81.54% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $11.8 million, which is $5.3m off for a 81.54% error.
6. The Losers
Held up decently, but will need a strong international push.
Result: $6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $4.32 million, which is $1.68m off for a 28% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $4.32 million, which is $1.68m off for a 28% error.
Yeah, everything did a little bit better than I called for.
Result: $5.9 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $4.33 million, which is $1.57m off for a 26.61% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $4.33 million, which is $1.57m off for a 26.61% error.
8. Kick-Ass
$71m on $30m. Do we see a sequel in our future?
Result: $4.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $3.99 million, which is $0.41m off for a 9.32% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $3.99 million, which is $0.41m off for a 9.32% error.
Better. Back into single digit error percentages.
Result: $4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $3.89 million, which is $0.11m off for a 2.75% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $3.89 million, which is $0.11m off for a 2.75% error.
10. Oceans
This was a strange massive dropper at 57 percent. Did it leave IMAX? Did no one wait to see it? A little mystery.
As for next weekend, well, we’ve all seen the calls being thrown around. Dark Knight opened at three times what Batman Begins did. Does that mean we can expect a $300m opening out of Iron Man 2? No, of course not. But it’s going to be big.
Result: $2.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $3.34 million, which is $0.74m off for a 28.46% error.
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $3.34 million, which is $0.74m off for a 28.46% error.
How say you? And will Robin Hood knock off Iron Man 2 in its second weekend? These are the topics of interest, weigh in, immediately!
