Boom! Despite all my second and third guessing I still managed to somehow nail the top slot, with How to Train Your Dragon grabbing its second crown in its fifth weekend.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 8 Weeks In A Row
I really thought the PG-13 of The Losers would lift it. Chris_sc77 and Check Spot both predicted it second, but Chris_sc77 was closer on the dollars. The production budget of $35m doesn’t make for happy financial prospects here.
Result: $12.2 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $13.12 million, which is $0.92m off for a 7.54% error.
3. Date Night
I’ll take the percentage of error. It competed well against a new release in the same demo, only a few hundred thousand people short of the silver medal.
Result: $10.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $11.41 million, which is $0.81m off for a 7.64% error.
4. The Losers
People didn’t take to this film. The budget was only $25m, but they are clearly in trouble. Still, for $25m, this film did look decent on the screen.
Result: $9.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $13.13 million, which is $3.53m off for a 36.77% error.
It did fall the most of any film, as predicted, but it didn’t fall quite as much as I thought. Still, a film I hope people give a chance. It’s an interesting effort.
Result: $9.5 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $8.92 million, which is $0.58m off for a 6.11% error.
It’s actually in better shape than How to Train Your Dragon based on the smaller $125m production budget. That said, we have no idea what the marketing outlays for each film looked like.
Result: $9 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $8.38 million, which is $0.62m off for a 6.89% error.
With the numbers this low the weekend ended up relatively easy to predict on the holdovers. If I can just call next week correctly I’ll get a freebie with Iron Man 2 winning the weekend after. Early prediction on Iron Man 2? $125m opening.
Result: $8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $7.87 million, which is $0.13m off for a 1.63% error.
Just needed more theaters, more marketing, or a sea change in how people consume documentaries. Ha, “sea change.” See what I did there?
Result: $6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $5.9 million, which is $0.1m off for a 1.67% error.
Hello Mr. Bingo, my name is the Box Office Oracle. Thanks for the love.
Result: $3.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $3.61 million, which is $0.09m off for a 2.43% error.
Curses! Perhaps the actuals will prove me correct on Hot Tub Time Machine grabbing the tenth slot? Wait, never mind. I don’t want to waste one of my come from behind wins on something so small. I have to save those to keep the streak intact.
Result: $2.2 million
My rank: Not Ranked
How say you? Any surprises? Did you see any of the new releases? Am I crazy for enjoying Kick-Ass? Comment away, the wrap-up column needs you!