Box-Office Oracle: Oscar Weekend is Looking Like a Win for Tyler Perry’s ‘Good Deeds’
By
Laremy Legel
The box office will be down, thanks largely to the the Academy Awards on Sunday. My prediction is everyone will be home watching the show and logged on and reading as Brad and I live blog that bad boy for around six hours! You know it! But for now, let’s break this weekend down!
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 0 Weeks In A Row
Since 2005 Tyler Perry has opened in the number one slot a staggering five times. Even one of his “misses”, Why Did I Get Married Too opened at $29m, which would have been good enough to win if not for Clash of the Titans. You could make the case that he’s the most consistent financially successful filmmaker of the past decade. Sure, guys like James Cameron, Christopher Nolan, and Gore Verbinski beat him on total dollars – but Perry churns out content year after year, putting numbers on the scoreboard each time.
Perry’s reach within his target demo is also nothing short of incredible. The only reason he’s not more acclaimed is a) his work is never screened and 2) when critics do buy a ticket they are largely unimpressed.
Still, the hundreds of millions Perry has earned likely softens the blow. This weekend, it should all happen again, bringing him six weekend titles in seven years.
The last film to open wide and then not take the title until its sophomore weekend was The Help. Which means you can start banking on that Ryan Reynolds nomination next year!
They are in real trouble here given the nearly $60m production budget. Of course, the first Ghost Rider took in $112 million internationally, but foreign dollars are already below the first one. Caveat’s aside, it’s not looking good.
That’s right, I don’t have The Artist or The Descendants making a push this weekend. Is that a commentary on audience’s enthusiasm for this year’s award crop?
Prediction: $4 million
How say you? Four new releases to predict, get out there and get some! Oh, and tune on on Sunday afternoon starting at 3pst. We’ll be having a very festive live blog time.
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