Box-Office Oracle: Can ‘Avengers’ Reach $100 Million in Its Second Weekend?
By
Laremy Legel
Not a lot of suspense at the top, The Avengers is going to crush everything in its path. The biggest question of the week is Dark Shadows. Do you trust the tracking (around $40m)? Or do you trust the reviews (52 percent on RT at this moment)? Is there even a precedent for a $40m Tim Burton – Johnny Depp film? Okay, that’s too many questions, let’s get into the article part before this gets outta hand.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 1 Week In A Row
$744m worldwide. That’s a good amount of cash, The Avengers could crack the top 25 worldwide of all-time this weekend, and it’s also a given to pass Iron Man and Iron Man 2 domestically. The only thing left to do here is give accolades, and note that I picked this title in my summer box-office battle against Brad. Win.
Now then, on the conjecture and speculation front, you’d have to figure we’re looking at Avengers 2 circa 2015, and Justice League should be right behind. Follow-up question, do you think they’d consider doing the X-Men / Avengers crossover storyline that happened in the comics during the ’90s? That could be Avengers 3, sort of wrapping the series up. I have a feeling that would make a few dollars.
Right there’s your one problem with Avengers raking in so much cash. The movies now must get bigger, no one is going to stand for just one superhero anymore.
I can’t go any higher than $7,500 per theater. Here are the Tim Burton films that have opened higher than this: Batman, Batman Returns, Planet of the Apes, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, and Alice in Wonderland. Does Dark Shadows seem at all like those titles? Doesn’t it look a lot more like Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street and Sleepy Hollow? I’m thinking it does, thus the prediction.
If you took titles three through ten, added up all the box office for this weekend, and multiplied by four … you’d still be well short of The Avengers.
Random trivia: last week 21 Jump Street had the exact same amount of theaters (1,040) as it made per theater ($1,040). That will never happen again. Too many variables.
Prediction: $0.8 million
How say you? Throw a Dark Shadows prediction out, be a hero. We’ll take some Avengers calls too, don’t be shy!
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