Box-Office Predictions: Can 'The Hunger Games' fend off 'Titanic 3-D' and American Reunion'?

Box-Office Oracle: Can ‘The Hunger Games’ fend off ‘Titanic 3-D’ and ‘American Reunion’?

April 5, 2012

By Laremy Legel

Our projection for The Hunger Games? Three-peat! The first film since waaaaaaay back in the day (The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1 to be exact) to pull it off. But what of the other contenders? Let’s break this thing down!

Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 5 Weeks In A Row

The Hunger Games

Yes, it fell 61 percent last weekend, which wasn’t ideal. But the story is still very rosy, $373m on a $78m production budget. It’s all gravy from here on out, and you’d have to think they’ll have a hefty production budget for movies two through four (yes, I’m already counting the third title being split in two).

The Hunger Games also ranks #1 in the categories of “Post-Apocalypse”, “Action Heroine”, and “Reality TV”. It needs another $100m to catch Jurassic Park on the “Sci-Fi , Based on Book” charts over at Box Office Mojo. Though none of those charts are adjusted for inflation, the only way things could get better for Lionsgate is if they teamed up with Brave for a Katniss / Princess Merida Saturday morning cartoon.

Prediction: $30.5 million

2. American Reunion

Bright side: It should win the “per theater” crown. But it’s around 1000 theaters short of The Hunger Games, which is too many. Nostalgia can only carry a film so far.

Prediction: $29.4 million

3. Titanic

Speaking of, I can’t see them duping more than 2.5 million ticket buyers here. It will do really well considering the minimal costs, but shouldn’t have enough heft to win the weekend.

Prediction: $24.1 million

4. Wrath of the Titans

A 56 percent dip is the prediction, and that’s being kind.

Prediction: $14.7 million

5. 21 Jump Street

Holding up remarkably well because it’s the only comedy in town. Smart scheduling.

Prediction: $13.6 million

6. Mirror Mirror

Vastly underrated, but it will face a 48 percent dip this weekend.

Prediction: $7.7 million

7. Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax

Have they already greenlit the sequels?

Prediction: $3.9 million

8. Salmon Fishing in the Yemen

Came outta nowhere last weekend! Sort of like the third act to the film itself …

Prediction: $0.95 million

9. John Carter

Doing well overseas, but the domestic results doomed them.

Prediction: $0.6 million

10. October Baby

There are about six films that could slip into this tenth spot, I’ve got October Baby winning by a mere 10k tickets sold nationwide.

Prediction: $0.4 million

How say you? Like Titanic 3-D or American Reunion at the top? This is the first weekend in a month we’ve got a legitimate race for the crown, predictions away!

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