Not a bad weekend considering the time of year as one movie crosses the $25 million mark and another comes close to hitting $20 million. As a result, the top twelve made over $132 million, $30 million more than last year at this time. We’ll take it.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 2 Weeks In A Row
It tried, but Underworld Awakening was unable to top 2006’s Underworld: Evolution opening, which is a little bit surprising considering the price of tickets nowadays. Laremy and I went to see this on Friday and a matinee 3D screening still cost us $13.25 each. In what world is that a deal?
Oh well, as far as predictions go, Laremy almost nailed it and on the reader side it was Natalie with a $24 million prediction that takes home the win.
Weekend: $25.4 million
RottenTomatoes Score: 24%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $24.9 million was $0.5m off for a percentage error of 1.97%.
2. Red Tails
I love how everyone is surprised Red Tails did so well with industry expectations set around $10 million. Will Hollywood ever learn not only white people go to the movies? Laremy came pretty close with his prediction and some of the readers had some bullish figures reaching as high as $33 million, but it was “Sensei White Lotus” and his damn near spot on $19 million prediction that takes the win on this one.
Weekend: $19.1 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $16.43 million, which is $2.67m off for a 13.98% error.
Contraband took a standard drop, which is to be expected for a movie that wasn’t necessarily bad, but also wasn’t exactly good.
Weekend: $12.2 million (-49.4% drop) / Cume: $46.1 million / RottenTomatoes: 48%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $12.9 million, which is $0.7m off for a 5.74% error.
Adding 2,624 theaters to the previous six it was in, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close was able to bounce back slightly over Saturday and Sunday for a respectable $10.5 million haul. With an A- CinemaScore this one is expected to have a minimal drop next weekend, but you need to start higher than $10.5 if you expect to hang around for very long.
Weekend: $10.5 million / Cume: $11.2 million / RottenTomatoes: 49%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $13.15 million, which is $2.65m off for a 25.24% error.
Steven Soderbergh’s Haywire is budgeted at $23 million so I guess a $9 million haul for a film being sold as a bit more of an actioner than it actually is isn’t too bad. Laremy was just shy with his $7.98 million prediction and a lot of readers expected great things from this film, some as high as $20 million, but it was Natalie again, this time nailing it with a $9 million prediction.
Weekend: $9 million / RottenTomatoes: 82%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $7.98 million, which is $1.02m off for a 11.33% error.
Dropping a bit more than expected Disney’s Beauty and the Beast won’t have the same impressive 3D run as The Lion King, but it’s pretty much free money at this point so I think they’ll take it. However, I bet when Finding Nemo hits 3D screens on September 14 it will be utter mayhem.
Weekend: $8.5 million (-53.8% drop) / Cume: $33.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 91%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $10.65 million, which is $2.15m off for a 25.29% error.
7. Joyful Noise
No surprise drop here and I really have nothing more to say.
Weekend: $6 million (-46.9% drop) / Cume: $21.9 million / RottenTomatoes: 35%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $6.62 million, which is $0.62m off for a 10.33% error.
Hmmm, $18 million still to go to match Mission: Impossible II (not taking inflation into account). Can it do it?
Weekend: $5.5 million (-52.2% drop) / Cume: $197.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 93%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $6.81 million, which is $1.31m off for a 23.82% error.
I can’t imagine they won’t make a third film at this point. With a third film you are still likely to make the same amount of money so you do it for just a bit cheaper and then you can sell two packs of the first two movies on Blu-ray before the third one releases, a cheap trilogy pack of all three once it hits DVD and Blu-ray and then an Ultimate Collection a year later. Once you make a film trilogy you are essentially printing money.
Weekend: $4.8 million (-42.9% drop) / Cume: $178.6 million / RottenTomatoes: 60%
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked
So close to $100 million, I can’t imagine Sony will pull this one from theaters before it hits it. Then again, the DVD and Blu-ray are already slated for a March 20 release.
Weekend: $3.7 million (-55.4% drop) / Cume: $94.7 million / RottenTomatoes: 87%
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked
Next weekend The Grey, Man on a Ledge and One for the Money hit theaters, which one takes that #1 spot? I’ve seen two of them and can say one is decent though it has its flaws and the other is pretty damned stupid. I’ll let you decide which ones I am describing and I’ll have my reviews online this coming Friday.