Weekend Box-Office: ‘Twilight: Breaking Dawn – Part 1’ is the Fifth Best Opening of All-Time

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No surprise at the top as the fans turned out early and often to support their favorite human and vampire and werewolf love triangle. Let’s quickly break down this weekend as I am obviously late to get these numbers up due to my morning screening of Arthur Christmas.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 1 Weeks In A Row

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1
Let’s see, the second best midnight opening ever with $30.3 million, the third-best opening day ever and now the fifth best opening weekend of all-time. I think it’s safe to say the Twilight franchise is a continued success and the fans are happy to support it.

On top of the domestic success, the film garnered an additional $144 million overseas, giving it a franchise best $283.5 million worldwide opening.

As far as predictions go, it wasn’t able to hit Laremy’s lofty $150 million call, but Stiggy’s $139 million call was almost on the button and Topyxyz’s $140 million prediction captures the other side of the $500,000 divide.

Weekend: $139.5 million
RottenTomatoes Score: 27%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $150.25 million was $10.75m off for a percentage error of 7.71%.
So, Twilight is the weekend’s big success story while Happy Feet Two is the weekend’s sob story. The original opened to $41.5 million on the same weekend and then went on to win the Best Animated Feature Oscar. The sequel won’t enjoy the same result and its fate may be decided sooner rather than later as it faces Arthur Christmas, The Muppets and Hugo in only three days. Yikes!

Laremy was well off in his prediction, but John PT wasn’t fooled with a $25.67 million prediction that was the best on the board.

Weekend: $22 million / RottenTomatoes: 43%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $43.27 million, which is $21.27m off for a 96.68% error.
Egh, a nearly 62% drop from last weekend’s #1 isn’t too good and a sign that word of mouth wasn’t as good as the B+ CinemaScore led me to believe. Doesn’t change the fact I had a lot of fun with this film and look forward to seeing it again.
Weekend: $12.2 million (-61.9% drop) / Cume: $52.9 million / RottenTomatoes: 36%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $17.71 million, which is $5.51m off for a 45.16% error.
A 53.8% drop and it looks like this will be the first Adam Sandler-starring film to not hit $100 million in 11 years. Have the mighty fallen or does Sandler simply need a bigger co-star than Katie Holmes and himself in drag to bring in the patrons?
Weekend: $12 million (-53.8% drop) / Cume: $41 million / RottenTomatoes: 4%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $13 million, which is $1m off for a 8.33% error.
It’s over $100 million and looks to be a solid contender for an animated Oscar nomination.
Weekend: $10.7 million (-58% drop) / Cume: $122.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 82%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $17.29 million, which is $6.59m off for a 61.59% error.
I have nothing to say about this one.
Weekend: $7 million (-47% drop) / Cume: $53.4 million / RottenTomatoes: 69%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $6.38 million, which is $0.62m off for a 8.86% error.
A 48% drop is okay I guess, but when you don’t make much money in the first place it still doesn’t bode well for your cume. Does this film stand much of a chance overseas? Will anyone care? Because that $35 million production budget still looms.
Weekend: $5.9 million (-48.2% drop) / Cume: $20.6 million / RottenTomatoes: 40%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5.38 million, which is $0.52m off for a 8.81% error.
A 72% RottenTomatoes rating is quite good, but after three weeks this film is still $2 million behind its predecessor even with inflated 3D ticket prices. So clearly fewer people have gone to see it and it also tells me people are tired of paying 3D ticket prices. Understandable.
Weekend: $2.9 million (-50.8% drop) / Cume: $28.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 72%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $3.13 million, which is $0.23m off for a 7.93% error.
Timberlake doesn’t have anything officially lined up after this film outside of a rumored involvement in the Coen brothers’ Inside Llewyn Davis. Amanda Seyfried will next be seen in Gone, which, if comments on the first trailer are any indication, maybe Seyfried should have avoided.
Weekend: $1.6 million (-61% drop) / Cume: $33.4 million / RottenTomatoes: 38%
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $1.71 million, which is $0.11m off for a 6.87% error.
No one on Laremy’s Thursday Oracle article predicted The Descendants would land a spot in the top ten, but, along with Twilight, it is definitely the success story of the weekend. Alexander Payne’s latest film opened in only 29 theaters on Wednesday and scored a massive $41,379 per theater over the weekend. That will definitely further the film’s Oscar chances where people are already calling it a Best Picture front-runner and George Clooney is eying that Best Actor Oscar.
Weekend: $1.2 million / Cume: $1.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 90%
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked

Now we look forward only a few days as a whole slew of wide and limited releases make their way to theaters just ahead of Thanksgiving.

As I already mentioned, Arthur Christmas, The Muppets and Hugo fit the family demo while My Week with Marilyn hits limited theaters.

And if you’re in New York and Los Angeles you can catch The Artist and A Dangerous Method and Rampart will also be making its way to a couple of select theaters, though only for a week as it will get a wider release in late January.

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