Last weekend was much closer than I bargained for. Luckily, fate has thrown me an easy weekend, though I foresee plenty of give both ways for the new releases. Let’s break it down!
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 1 Week In A Row
The production budget was a blistering $163m. So the $130m+ it makes domestically will need to be heavily augmented by international dollars. I wish them luck, vaya con dios.
Prediction: $20.4 million
3. The Smurfs
They spent $110m here, a number that seems impossible. The film overperformed on its opening weekend, but I refuse to believe that it should have cost $50m more than Hop.
Prediction: $19.22 million
It’s legitimately funny, earning the hard R throughout. Still, there’s not enough audience to boost this much higher.
Prediction: $16.8 million
Welcome to the Billionaire club, Potter. 2011 gets its third member along with Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides and Transformers: Dark of the Moon, a record.
Prediction: $13.19 million
$200m worldwide so far, but that 61 percent domestic weekend drop isn’t a positive development.
Prediction: $11.76 million
I give them credit for trying something new. However, I don’t give them credit for the execution of said “newness”. And where did the $50m go? I didn’t see any CGI Smurfs running around next to Ryan Gosling.
Prediction: $9.93 million
Probably needs $80m in revenue to get into the black. With home video rights and a couple of international dollars they’ll get there.
Prediction: $4.73 million
A success story. The July 8 release date was pitch perfect.
Prediction: $3.35 million
We’ll miss you Transformers: Dark of the Moon. But we won’t miss typing your longish title.
Prediction: $2.62 million
How say you? Someone is going to hit Rise of the Planet of the Apes on the nose this weekend, I can just feel it. Predictions away!
