Box-Office Wrap Up: ‘Thor’ Wins the Weekend but ‘Bridesmaids’ is the Stunner

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Universal continues to smile as Bridesmaids overperforms and Fast Five continues to rake in the cash. But as far as the top spot goes, that remains Thor‘s for a second weekend in a row. Let’s break it down rapid fire style as I am writing this up from Cannes and have plenty more work to do.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 3 Weeks In A Row
An impressive hold for Thor tells me people are enjoying it as it only dipped 47.5% after its $65.7 million opening weekend. It is now over $119 million domestically and over $317 million worldwide. I think it’s safe to say the Avengers franchise remains a success. Next test… Captain America: The First Avenger. Anyone care to guess how that will perform when it arrives in July or is it too soon?

Result: $34.5 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $29.58 million was $4.92m off for a percentage error of 14.26%.
The big story of the weekend is Bridesmaids over-performing. This film was tracking for the high teens, but did quite well over the weekend, bringing in over $10 million on Saturday before dipping to an estimated $5.8 million on Sunday. I also have to give kudos to Laremy for his prediction as he was one of few pundits to go as high as he did.

As far as reader predictions go there were a lot of low numbers on the board, including an $8 million prediction. As it turns out Nick takes the prize for this one with a $26.2 million call. Congrats.

Result: $24.4 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $26.25 million, which is $1.85m off for a 7.58% error.
Now over $168 million domestically and over $440 million worldwide I have to assume the execs at Universal are sporting the perma-grim. Only a 39.8% drop for Fast Five this weekend shows just how strong this franchise is.
Result: $19.5 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $13.95 million, which is $5.55m off for a 28.46% error.
My biggest question here is that $60 million budget. Of course, this film is going to probably do quite well overseas and on DVD and Blu-ray. The movie business has become so complex nowadays there are many factors to take into consideration when considering a film a success or a flop. Taking that into account, I have to assume Screen Gems is perfectly satisfied with this opening.
Result: $14.5 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $16.6 million, which is $2.1m off for a 14.48% error.
5. Rio
$124 million on a $90 million budget and that is just domestically. Worldwide it’s over $415 million. How has a sequel not yet been announced?
Result: $8 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $4.54 million, which is $3.46m off for a 43.25% error.
Even though I haven’t seen it, I am still happy to see Jumping the Broom once again topping Something Borrowed. Now what do we get Laremy for predicting this title exactly right?
Result: $7.3 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $7.3 million and he was exactly right!
I wish I could forget this film. Hopefully by next weekend it will be out of the top ten and I can.
Result: $7 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $9.06 million, which is $2.06m off for a 29.43% error.
A nice low budget success for Fox, this one has been rolling out overseas recently so I’m curious to see where the numbers will stand by the end of next week.
Result: $4.1 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $3.73 million, which is $0.37m off for a 9.02% error.
Is it possible for the Tyler Perry juggernaut to fade? I wonder what would be the cause? He’s made a ton of these movies, are any of them better or worse than the other? His last Madea film did over $90 million, why isn’t this one doing as well?
Result: $2.2 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $1.38 million, which is $0.82m off for a 37.27% error.
This film has now more than doubled its $18 million production budget. FilmDistrict’s start between this and Insidious is very impressive.
Result: $1.8 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $1.31 million, which is $0.49m off for a 27.22% error.

Elsewhere on the charts, the quite good Everything Must Go managed $740,000 from 218 theaters and the not-so-good Hesher brought in $127,000 from 40 theaters.

As for next weekend it is time to start thinking about how much Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides will pull down. At World’s End opened with $114 million after Dead Man’s Chest opened with $135 million. Will this be 2011’s first $100+ million opener? I have Laremy here next to me and he says without looking at the numbers, such as factoring in 3D and theater counts, he’s thinking $106 million… Care to place an early wager of your own?

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