Box-Office Wrap-Up: Sep. 3 – Sep. 5, 2010

ON
I may just start a new streak of never picking the top spot correctly. This weekend the adult drama beat the horror and the romantic comedy. I didn’t see that coming.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
M1 was the only person to call The American at the top, though he also had it cracking $19m. I should have known Clooney could pull this off, he managed the exact same trick with Burn After Reading in 2008. That film was rated R, featured better reviews (78 percent on RT), and opened at $19.1m to win a weekend in September.

Here’s a question for the group. Take a look at that poster to your left. Focus in on the N in American. What’s going on there? Is that him falling? Him shooting someone? I have only questions.

I haven’t seen a budget here, but I bet they got killed on the Euro / Dollar exchange rate.

Result: $12.9 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 and my prediction of $11.292 million was $1.608m off for a percentage error of 12.47%.
Hey, it didn’t fall 50 percent! They’ve got to be partying in their cubes over at the Screen Gems.
Result: $11.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $9.435 million, which is $1.965m off for a 17.24% error.
Put up a $3.9m on Friday but couldn’t keep the momentum going.
Result: $11.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $13.25 million, which is $1.95m off for a 17.26% error.
This wins the coveted “biggest bleed” award, proving once again that horror is more frontloaded than a snowplow.
Result: $7.5 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $9.776 million, which is $2.276m off for a 30.35% error.
My personal Waterloo. My only working theory is that no one cares about Justin Long and they are over Drew Barrymore. Clearly Whip It taught me nothing!
Result: $6.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #1 with $13.365 million, which is $6.565m off for a 96.54% error.
Did pretty much what we figured, though that $80m budget looms.
Result: $6.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $5.716 million, which is $0.984m off for a 14.69% error.
It didn’t fall at all! Which means the comedy dollars made a beeline this route.
Result: $5.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.209 million, which is $2.191m off for a 40.57% error.
Another film that refused to fall. There was some strange traction near the bottom this weekend. My math indicates it was the worst weekend of the year, but with the lack of heft at the top the smaller films didn’t get crushed.
Result: $4.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $2.542 million, which is $2.258m off for a 47.04% error.
How bad was the weekend? $8m under the previous worst weekend of the year. You’ve got to go back to September 4-6 of 2009 to find a weekend like this. Yes, I’m aware those dates are eerily similar.
Result: $4.5 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.81 million, which is $1.69m off for a 37.56% error.
Somehow, next weekend is even worse in terms of offerings. Bring on the Oscar films already!
Result: $3.5 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $2.938 million, which is $0.562m off for a 16.06% error.

How say you? Did you see any of the new films? Wanna take a side on The American? Comment it up, starting now!

Check out our new Box-Office charts here and
subscribe to our updated Box-Office RSS feed here