Box-Office Wrap-Up: Sep. 3 – Sep. 5, 2010

I may just start a new streak of never picking the top spot correctly. This weekend the adult drama beat the horror and the romantic comedy. I didn’t see that coming.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
Hey, it didn’t fall 50 percent! They’ve got to be partying in their cubes over at the Screen Gems.
Result: $11.4 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $9.435 million, which is $1.965m off for a 17.24% error.
Put up a $3.9m on Friday but couldn’t keep the momentum going.
Result: $11.3 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $13.25 million, which is $1.95m off for a 17.26% error.
This wins the coveted “biggest bleed” award, proving once again that horror is more frontloaded than a snowplow.
Result: $7.5 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $9.776 million, which is $2.276m off for a 30.35% error.
My personal Waterloo. My only working theory is that no one cares about Justin Long and they are over Drew Barrymore. Clearly Whip It taught me nothing!
Result: $6.8 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #1 with $13.365 million, which is $6.565m off for a 96.54% error.
Did pretty much what we figured, though that $80m budget looms.
Result: $6.7 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $5.716 million, which is $0.984m off for a 14.69% error.
It didn’t fall at all! Which means the comedy dollars made a beeline this route.
Result: $5.4 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.209 million, which is $2.191m off for a 40.57% error.
Another film that refused to fall. There was some strange traction near the bottom this weekend. My math indicates it was the worst weekend of the year, but with the lack of heft at the top the smaller films didn’t get crushed.
Result: $4.8 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $2.542 million, which is $2.258m off for a 47.04% error.
How bad was the weekend? $8m under the previous worst weekend of the year. You’ve got to go back to September 4-6 of 2009 to find a weekend like this. Yes, I’m aware those dates are eerily similar.
Result: $4.5 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.81 million, which is $1.69m off for a 37.56% error.
Somehow, next weekend is even worse in terms of offerings. Bring on the Oscar films already!
Result: $3.5 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $2.938 million, which is $0.562m off for a 16.06% error.

How say you? Did you see any of the new films? Wanna take a side on The American? Comment it up, starting now!

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