If these results hold, it will end up being the second best weekend of the year at the box office. The top twelve cleared $192m, a big result, and the family and holdover dollars were out in force. Let’s break it down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 4 Weeks In A Row
Lesson learned here, Eclipse has made $227m after being in theaters for 11 days where New Moon made $233m. About the same result, though they have gotten to that destination in far different ways. New Moon fell 70 percent where Eclipse (with its frontloaded Wednesday opening) fell under half. With a production budget under $70m, and nearing half a billion worldwide in box office take, this is another massive win for Summit Entertainment.
Result: $33.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $21.39 million, which is $11.91m off for a 35.77% error.
They made it on the cheap ($40m) so they should be okay. The fans of this series are vocal … but not plentiful, with just under 1 in 100 Americans purchasing a ticket this weekend.
Result: $25.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $22.95 million, which is $2.35m off for a 9.29% error.
4. Toy Story 3
The number one Pixar film of all-time, a month ago I was somewhat skeptical because I underestimated the weekday strength. It still has some work to do to gain international dominance, but the Pixar brand is now firmly established.
Result: $22 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $15.52 million, which is $6.48m off for a 29.45% error.
The second most expensive film on the the board. Just not an efficient use of cash.
Result: $17.1 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $18.55 million, which is $1.45m off for a 8.48% error.
6. Grown Ups
Grown Ups only fell 14 percent??! I mean, it was alone in its demo, but still, any theories are welcome here.
Result: $16.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $9.71 million, which is $6.69m off for a 40.79% error.
Another strong holdover result. People were trying to beat the heat this weekend.
Result: $7.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $4.86 million, which is $2.94m off for a 37.69% error.
Looking more and more like a slightly weaker The Hangover in terms of domestic take vs. production budget multiplier.
Result: $5.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $3.54 million, which is $2.16m off for a 37.89% error.
9. The A-Team
Will need around $200m in international money to feel good about the totals.
Result: $1.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $1.05 million, which is $0.75m off for a 41.67% error.
TOLDJA! No. Only kidding. We all knew Cyrus would be around here. Trivia: The Girl Who Played With Fire would have beaten it with comparable theaters.
Result: $1.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2 million, which is $0.7m off for a 53.85% error.
How say you? Surprised by the strength of the weekend? Sad to see three 3-D films in the top five?