Box-Office Wrap-Up: May 21 – May 23, 2010

This weekend in May was more than $20m lighter than the same time period last year, due to Night at the Museum and Terminator sequels combining t0 outperform Shrek Forever After.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 12 Weeks In A Row
This was a bingo, no doubt about it. Many of us were damned close, the groupthink was pretty clear, though I don’t think anyone hit it exactly. Iron Man 2 crossed the $500m worldwide cume this weekend, not too shabby.
Result: $26.6 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $26.54 million, which is $0.06m off for a 0.23% error.
Not a terrible drop, but not the 30 percent or so they needed. Still well on track to lose money.
Result: $18.7 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $17.14 million, which is $1.56m off for a 8.34% error.
Only Date Night held over better. The female contingent is clearly hungry for programming.
Result: $9.1 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $7.19 million, which is $1.91m off for a 20.99% error.
I asked it to drop 49 percent, and it did so nicely.
Result: $4.2 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $4.23 million, which is $0.03m off for a 0.71% error.
Nothing like being 400 percent wrong. This total means that less than half a million people wanted to see MacGruber. You can kiss SNL movie funding goodbye for a bit.
Result: $4.1 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $20.36 million, which is $16.26m off for a 396.59% error.
$141m on a budget of $55m might just work, depending on how much marketing they threw behind it.
Result: $2.8 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $2.34 million, which is $0.46m off for a 16.43% error.
$76m on a budget of $35m isn’t working yet … but it’s not a disaster either.
Result: $2.2 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.09 million, which is $0.11m off for a 5% error.
Paramount finally killed their own product, this was a 26 percent higher drop than any previous How to Train Your Dragon result.
Result: $1.8 million

My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $2.85 million, which is $1.05m off for a 58.33% error.
10. Kites
Kites! Brett Ratner strikes again.
Result: $0.952 million

My rank: Not Ranked

How say you? Surprised by the MacGruber disaster? Willing to give up on the Shrek franchise? Any other comments you’d like to toss into the mix? Comment away, now and forever!

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