My sources indicate this is Disney’s first threepeat since Pirates of the Caribbean:
Dead Man’s Chest. Burton’s Alice in Wonderland has piled on $566m in worldwide cume, that’s a nice number given the lofty budget. Let’s break it down!
Dead Man’s Chest. Burton’s Alice in Wonderland has piled on $566m in worldwide cume, that’s a nice number given the lofty budget. Let’s break it down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 3 Weeks In A Row
Most of us were way too low on Wimpy Kid, but clearly the parents responded. M1 had a nice early $20m call. The production budget was a downright slender $15m, meaning they’ll do great if this gets even decent word of mouth.
Result: $21.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $16.25 million, which is $5.55m off for a 25.46% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $16.25 million, which is $5.55m off for a 25.46% variance.
It was about what we thought it was, JM had the nicest take at $21.6. I held out hope it would stay under $20m to really send a message. Last question: where did they spend the $40m? The after-party?
Result: $21 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $19.83 million, which is $1.17m off for a 5.57% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $19.83 million, which is $1.17m off for a 5.57% variance.
4. Repo Men
Crushed. No kudos for anyone, we all were very bullish on this title. What made the public stay away? The health care debate? Too much debt for a film about debt to succeed? Whatever the case people avoided this like the plague.
Result: $6.1 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $12.96 million, which is $6.86m off for a 112.46% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $12.96 million, which is $6.86m off for a 112.46% variance.
A 38.5 percent drop means people took my advice and gave it a shot in its second weekend. OR it started so low that it didn’t have far to fall.
Result: $6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $5.47 million, which is $0.53m off for a 8.83% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $5.47 million, which is $0.53m off for a 8.83% variance.
6. Green Zone
The biggest bleed on the board, people were clearly not having anything to do with Green Zone once word got out.
Result: $5.9 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $6.87 million, which is $0.97m off for a 16.44% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $6.87 million, which is $0.97m off for a 16.44% variance.
When should I do the catchphrase? Under a five percent variance?
Result: $4.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $5.33 million, which is $0.63m off for a 13.4% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $5.33 million, which is $0.63m off for a 13.4% variance.
8. Avatar
I don’t see it getting to $2.7b … unless three million people really want to see the extra ten minutes.
Result: $4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $3.66 million, which is $0.34m off for a 8.5% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $3.66 million, which is $0.34m off for a 8.5% variance.
No production budget listed yet, so it’s hard to tell how well this is doing.
Result: $3.8 million
My rank: Not Ranked
My rank: Not Ranked
10. Remember Me
Whoops. I was hoping Ghost Writer would slip into the top ten too. Perhaps Monday’s actuals will save me, though I’m a million dollars short going into Sunday.
Result: $3.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $6.89 million, which is $3.59m off for a 108.79% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $6.89 million, which is $3.59m off for a 108.79% variance.
Two decent films out next week, both getting nice reviews. We’re almost to the summer films, when Hollywood starts trying again. Can’t wait!
