Box-Office Oracle: Mar. 5 – Mar. 7, 2010

#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
A 40 percent drop. Respectable.
Prediction: $13.59 million
The bad news? It’s losing 3-D screenings to Alice in Wonderland. The good news? It always seems to make significant money. And people will be rushing to see it before The Academy Awards, so they can form a rooting interest. As such, I can only ding it 17.5 percent.
Prediction: $9.92 million
Not enough theaters, not enough marketing, not a lot of hope. No double digits for you!
Prediction: $9.78 million
It will be the biggest dropper of the weekend, rather easily.
Prediction: $8.74 million
Will hold up a little better, but the 600 theater advantage Cop Out holds will cost it fifth place.
Prediction: $8.2 million
Percy is getting a nice international push, it’s at $167m worldwide cume. Sidenote: I like what I’m seeing from the new Zack Snyder project, Legend of the Guardians. It’s all about animated hero owls. Can’t miss, right?
Prediction: $5.82 million
It’s going to follow a normal progression from here on out.
Prediction: $4.62 million
It only made $168k in Poland. So at least some audiences out there are savvy.
Prediction: $2.59 million
I’ll have some Oscar predictions for you on Sunday morning… but you can expect an awful lot of chalk. The top categories seem pretty clear at this point.
Prediction: $2.32 million

Your turn. Throw an Alice number at me that surprises and amuses.

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