Box-Office Wrap-Up: Jul. 3

Box-Office Wrap-Up: Jul. 3 – Jul. 5, 2009

July 5, 2009

By Laremy Legel

I’m not sure whether to count this weekend as a win or a loss. On one hand I completely overrated Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs. On the other hand I completely nailed my Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen‘s 61 percent drop. Should I call it a draw?

#1 movie predicted correctly: 2 Weeks In A Row

1. Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Well, we all had this title over $50m, so it looks like a slight miss. Still, it’s at $215m worldwide on a reported $90m production budget so they’re probably not too upset over at 20th Century Fox.

Result: 42.5 million (My rank: #1, $13.4m off)

2. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen

Revenge of the Fallen grabbed the top spot for the year, nearing $600m worldwide. But let me tell you about another film that dropped 61 percent on its second weekend… Ballistic: Ecks vs. Sever. Oh, and also Glitter, starring Mariah Carey. The defense rests.

Result: 42.5 million (My rank: #2, $0m off)

3. Public Enemies

I went too low. However, I was pleased to see it open above Miami Vice, if only to provide Michael Mann a roadmap going forward.

Result: 26.1 million (My rank: #3, $2.9m off)

4. The Proposal

It cracked triple digits (worldwide) this weekend. Could we be in for The Proposal II – but this time he visits her dead family?

Result: 12.7 million (My rank: #4, $1.4m off)

5. The Hangover

Raichu was closest here with a $10.6m prediction. The Hangover could theoretically hit $300m, it’s at $265m worldwide. I would bet against it, but pretty amazing that it even has a chance.

Result: 10.4 million (My rank: #5, $0.3m off)

6. Up

Y’all were right, I was wrong. I had it way too low.

Result: 6.5 million (My rank: #7, $2.0m off)

7. My Sister’s Keeper

The budget was only $30m. But they are going to have a hell of a time reaching anything nearing a profit as the title is already fading fast.

Result: 5.2 million (My rank: #6, $1.6m off)

8. The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3

Yamato, Nick, and Sebastian were all far more dialed in on this film than I. Those 1100 theaters it lost must not have been in busy areas.

Result: 2.5 million (My rank: #10, $1.0m off)

9. Year One

Cera and Black have yet to heed my door-to-door selling advice so it’s hard to drum up much sympathy.