![]() I’m not sure whether to count this weekend as a win or a loss. On one hand I completely overrated Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs. On the other hand I completely nailed my Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen‘s 61 percent drop. Should I call it a draw? #1 movie predicted correctly: 2 Weeks In A Row Well, we all had this title over $50m, so it looks like a slight miss. Still, it’s at $215m worldwide on a reported $90m production budget so they’re probably not too upset over at 20th Century Fox. Result: 42.5 million (My rank: #1, $13.4m off) Revenge of the Fallen grabbed the top spot for the year, nearing $600m worldwide. But let me tell you about another film that dropped 61 percent on its second weekend… Ballistic: Ecks vs. Sever. Oh, and also Glitter, starring Mariah Carey. The defense rests. Result: 42.5 million (My rank: #2, $0m off) I went too low. However, I was pleased to see it open above Miami Vice, if only to provide Michael Mann a roadmap going forward. Result: 26.1 million (My rank: #3, $2.9m off) 4. The Proposal It cracked triple digits (worldwide) this weekend. Could we be in for The Proposal II – but this time he visits her dead family? Result: 12.7 million (My rank: #4, $1.4m off) 5. The Hangover Raichu was closest here with a $10.6m prediction. The Hangover could theoretically hit $300m, it’s at $265m worldwide. I would bet against it, but pretty amazing that it even has a chance. Result: 10.4 million (My rank: #5, $0.3m off) 6. Up Y’all were right, I was wrong. I had it way too low. Result: 6.5 million (My rank: #7, $2.0m off) The budget was only $30m. But they are going to have a hell of a time reaching anything nearing a profit as the title is already fading fast. Result: 5.2 million (My rank: #6, $1.6m off) Yamato, Nick, and Sebastian were all far more dialed in on this film than I. Those 1100 theaters it lost must not have been in busy areas. Result: 2.5 million (My rank: #10, $1.0m off) 9. Year One Cera and Black have yet to heed my door-to-door selling advice so it’s hard to drum up much sympathy. Result: 2.1 million (My rank: #9, $0.1m off) Star Trek fell out of the top ten. Shame. Result: 2.1 million (My rank: Not Ranked) Any early calls on next weekend? Borat opened at $26m in 2006. If Bruno matches that it just might be enough. Let me hear it. Show Comments |