Box-Office Wrap-Up: Feb. 20 – Feb. 22, 2009

I’m not one to doubt estimates… but I’m sort of doubting Madea makes $9.8m today. My guess is they end up much closer to $40m. Still, a hell of a weekend for T-Per.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 4 Weeks In A Row
It was the biggest Tyler Perry opening ever, and it beat the second place film by $30m. That’s impressive. It also looks poised to become the biggest Tyler Perry film ever, it only needs $22m more to pass Madea’s Family Reunion.
Result: 41.1 million (My rank: #1, $16.1m off)
BoxOfficeMojo has it as the number #2 kidnapping film of all time, behind only Ransom. What about Raising Arizona fellas? It would be 13th on their list if they counted it. I guess kidnapping comedies don’t rate.
Result: 11.4 million (My rank: #2, $2.7m off)
It sits at $56m worldwide, not enough for me to think it’s banking just yet.
Result: 11.0 million (My rank: #, $m off)
Back on track! Though this one was crushed with a 56% drop. I guess they are figuring Oscar fans are right in this demo.
Result: 8.5 million (My rank: #4, $4m off)
Ahh, I see, people are heading out to see it before The Academy Awards. Makes sense, you want to have a rooting interest.
Result: 8.0 million (My rank: #9, $2.7m off)
Is an 80.7% drop the most ever? Of movies that made more than $4m on their opening weekend, yes. Star Trek: Nemesis back in 2002 is really the only recent movie that looks anything like it, that one went from $18.5m to $4.4m. Here’s what I’m getting at; this was one hell of a drop.
Result: 7.8 million (My rank: #2, $9.9m off)
I feel great about nailing #7, #8, and #10. Audiences punished this one this weekend… for being a bad movie.
Result: 7.01 million (My rank: #7, $1.09m off)
It will pass $100m over its budget in the next few days. So talks of Paul Blart: Zookeeper are a financial reality.
Result: 7.00 million (My rank: #8, $1.5m off)
No one wanted to see it, even though it was a healthy 32% on Rotten Tomatoes.
Result: 6.0 million (My rank: #6, $2.4m off)
Budget was $50m. It’s made $20m so far. Can you say tax write-off? I think you can.
Result: 4.5 million (My rank: #10, $.4m off)

Next weekend you like Jonas Brothers? Or Street Fighter? Man, it hurt just to type that.

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