#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks in a Row
There aren’t any new releases, so this weekend is all about how much each film will fall… and how much the box office should do overall. I’m betting that the top twelve don’t quite hit $100m. Historically the first weekend of the year is pretty soft.
Estimate: $18.5 million
Of course last weekend shouldn’t have hit $180m historically either… but it did. Still, no new releases is the thing I’m keying on. Hollywood is taking the weekend off. Audiences probably will too.
Estimate: $14.7 million
Button has a great shot this weekend to finish #2 or #1. But the mixed reviews and running time have to catch up to it at some point.
Estimate: $14.6 million
4. Valkyrie
They are still pouring ad dollars into this one. Tom C. can’t say they shortchanged him on budget. Not enough people interested in the topic is all.
Estimate: $11.5 million
5. Yes Man
I’ll entirely pissed about Zooey D. getting engaged. What the heck? How are we supposed to run away together now?
Estimate: $8.4 million
6. Seven Pounds
This was the one film that theater counts weren’t in for yet… unless they’ve pulled it out of theaters already? Nah, I’ll just assume Box Office Mojo is taking the day off. Like everyone else (besides me) in the world.
Estimate: $6.7 million
We’re going to need to think of a new way to have fun around here in Jan/Feb. Have you seen the film schedule? Mall Cop? Bride Wars? And those are the highlights!
Estimate: $4.8 million
This projection means that around half a million people will accidentally see this movie this weekend.
Estimate: $4.1 million
9. Doubt
Doubt actually finished in the top ten last weekend, just not for the four day numbers. I’m seeing about $2908 per theater in this film’s future.
Estimate: $3.7 million
10. The Reader
Little known fact: this is up to almost 400 theaters this weekend, almost like 10% of a new release. That minor effort will be just enough to boost it in to the top ten.
Estimate: $3.4 million
