Box-Office Wrap-Up: Dec. 5 – Dec. 7, 2008

Box office receipts were down exactly 50%, which I called, but I was definitely a bit off on the order. Let’s break this thing down.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Week In A Row
The “winner” of the weekend. It’s made $74m on a budget of $80m so it’s still got a ton of work to do. I’m guessing those Christmas DVDs don’t sell well in May either.
Result: 18.1 million (My rank: #1, $3.1m off)
The problem was not my projection for Twilight, the problem was that Bolt and Solace died – almost the inverse of last weekend.
Result: 13.1 million (My rank: #4, $1.1The m off)
3. Bolt
Crushed. The kids were back at school and the parents were back at work. Still, if it can make $13m more it catches Beverly Hills Chihuahua. That’s all I want for Christmas.
Result: 9.6 million (My rank: #2, $4.7m off)
There’s still time for all you critics who praised it to come around. We won’t judge you. You’ll have come to your senses is all.
Result: 7.0 million (My rank: #7, $.3m off)
A 65% drop. This one is starting to feel like Mission Impossible 3 to me. A solid action film that gets bashed by 25% of those who see it for a myriad of reasons (no plot, not “Bondy” enough). But those 25% are killing this one with the crossover audiences.
Result: 6.6 million (My rank: #3, $7.2m off)
Still, $238m worldwide. This was one of the four films that dropped over 60% this weekend.
Result: 5.1 million (My rank: #5, $5.1m off)
I dream of a world where no one remembers this movie. So yeah, I guess I dream of a period like ten days from now.
Result: 4.5 million (My rank: #8, $1.2m off)
Lionsgate’s hit for the year is still Saw V, coming in at 45th place in 2008. Sad. If they hand that studio over to me I promise a top 40 hit or I’ll take no salary. That’s how confident I am that I can greenlight projects not called Saw or Punisher.
Result: 4.0 million (My rank: #6, $6.0m off)
How about that prediction? Money. Perhaps it helped that I never saw the movie.
Result: 3.5 million (My rank: #9, $0.3m off)
All ten in the top ten! Next week should be easy too, only one film opening at over 1800 theaters. And that film has Keanu in it.
Result: 2.6 million (My rank: #10, $0.9m off)
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