#1 movie predicted correctly: 2 Weeks in a Row
1. Twilight
I’ve seen predictions as high as $70m. I say no dice. I’ve got it at $16k per theater and that’s about as high as I’m willing to go. It’s a noisy group of fans… but there’s not an overwhelming amount of them. I think.
Estimate: $54.7 million
2. Bolt
You GOTTA like Bolt to make some dough this weekend too. It’s a kid’s film, not in Twilight‘s way at all. Win, win.
Estimate: $40.2 million
I’m dropping it 47%. But I could definitely see it doing better, only because this is the most perfectly segmented weekend ever. Disney, Sony, and Summit timed it perfectly. I bow to them.
Estimate: $35.8 million
$168m and climbing rapidly. Still, that production budget was a lofty $150m so let’s not start patting each other on the back just yet.
Estimate: $19.8 million
5. Role Models
Don’t look now, but this will crack the top 70 for 2008 this weekend. Hot.
Estimate: $6.7 million
$207m on a budget of $11m. Seriously. That’s just dirty.
Estimate: $2.7 million
7. Changeling
It’s crazy how top heavy this weekend is. I mean, it’s always pretty disparate these days, we’re not living in the 80s, but this weekend in particular seems loco.
Estimate: $2.6 million
Before we get to the end of this list I’ve got a film making less than a million dollars. Sad.
Estimate: $1.4 million
But it’s not this one! Kevin barely squeaked in.
Estimate: $1.0 million
10. Eagle Eye
Yep. 100x more people will see Twilight this weekend. And they’ll love it too. Why? Low expectations and lack of cinematic experience. That’s fine though, we’ll talk to them again in about a decade… when we can share a drink over it.
Estimate: $.6 million
