Box-Office Wrap-Up: Oct. 19 – Oct. 21

We’re back in business! It took some menacing vampires to get the streak rolling again. I couldn’t be happier with the results, the terrible looking sports spoof comedy was punished and audiences remained consistent on not wanting to see anything nearing terrorism. Next up for Hollywood? A terrorist spoof of course!
#1 movie predicted correctly: One Week In A Row
Oooh, that’s a money pick. The method was to look at a successful horror (the latest remake of Halloween) and subtract about 20% because of lack of name recognition. But Hartnett and company should be as pleased as punch, the reviews are decent (for a horror) so it shouldn’t get completely crushed in week two.
Result: $16.0 million (My rank: #1, $.9m off)
So if Tyler Perry has proven he can hold on to that weekend two box office what’s next for him? Space travel? The bending of matter to his will? He’s pwned us all lately.
Result: $12.1 million (My rank: #3, $2.5m off)
The issue wasn’t this pick, it was the two movies I had ahead of it. I correctly surmised, after about three weeks, that American audiences dig The Game Plan in a very big way.
Result: $8.1 million (My rank: #5, $.4m off)
How odd. It opened like a dog but showed remarkable stamina. So either the serious movie fans don’t rush out opening weekend (because they have high paying 100 hour a week jobs?) or word of mouth was off the chain. You decide.
Result: $7.1 million (My rank: #8, $1.4m off)
Yep, it was what I thought it was. I looked at Mystic River as the highest opening weekend kidnap flick and then took off a bunch of cash per theater… because this headlined Casey Affleck while River had Sean Penn and Tim Robbins. Hey, I like Casey, but no one else knows who the hell he is.
Result: $6.0 million (My rank: #6, $.3m off)
I can only chuckle at the smack laid down here. Yeah Hollywood, we’re dumb, but we’re not that dumb. This was shoddy marketing and execution at its finest. I can only guess most of the production budget went up their noses.
Result: $5.8 million (My rank: #2, $5.9m off)
Now that’s a lovely prediction. Earlier this week I saw the Eva Mendes sex scene leaked online. You might want to check it out as it’s the only noteworthy scene in the film.
Result: $5.5 million (My rank: #7, $.1m off)
I knew it was getting 564 theaters… but I didn’t see it averaging damn near $10k per. That’s big dollars, double every movie in the top ten with the exception of the top two slots. Crazy Tim Burton fans, unite!
Result: $5.1 million (My rank: Not Ranked)
I said there was no bottom to this film when I commented on it on Thursday and I was right. Trying to get any movie greenlit right now that has the word “terrorism” in its plot is going to take a heck of a lot of sexual favors from the production team going towards the financiers. Right now the Middle East is the third rail of Hollywood. You don’t touch it.
Result: $4.1 million (My rank: #4, $4.0m off)
Things We Lost in the Fire didn’t crack the top ten… or the top fourteen. Now they can stop doing relentless press for it, though you wonder why they didn’t put their efforts into getting it into a few more theaters. As for this one it should thank the heavens for the $46m worldwide already gained. It’s all about humility people! See ya Thursday.
Result: $3.9 million (My rank: #9, $.2m off)
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