As the 2024 presidential race intensifies, new polling data from October 7 for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump has captured widespread attention. With the contest remaining tight, the latest figures reveal important voter divides. These insights are crucial for gauging national trends and understanding the dynamics in critical battleground states as the election draws near.
Here’s a closer look at the recent polling data and its potential implications for both candidates as they approach Election Day.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for October 7
As of October 7, 2024, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 3.4% in national polls. Harris is polling at 49.8%, while Trump stands at 46.4%, according to The Hill.
The race is tight, with various polls reflecting different outcomes. A Data for Progress poll (October 3–4) places Harris ahead by 3 points, at 49% to Trump’s 46%. On the other hand, RMG Research, Inc. (October 1–4) shows a tie at 49% each, while Rasmussen Reports (September 27–October 3) has Trump leading by 2 points.
State polls show similarly close contests. In Arizona, Trump holds a narrow 0.8% lead, with InsiderAdvantage showing him 1 point ahead and Emerson College reporting a 4-point lead for him. Likewise, in Florida, Trump leads by 2.4%, according to Public Policy Polling and McLaughlin & Associates.
Harris has a slim 0.8% lead in Pennsylvania, supported by Emerson College, though The Trafalgar Group shows Trump ahead by 2 points. Michigan remains closely contested, with Harris leading by only 0.2%, but The Trafalgar Group gives Trump a 2-point advantage. In Wisconsin, Harris holds a 1.3% lead, with The New York Times/Siena College and ActiVote polls confirming her edge. However, The Trafalgar Group places Trump 1 point ahead.
Georgia leans toward Trump, who has a 0.7% lead, and Quinnipiac University reports a 5-point advantage for him. In contrast, Harris leads by 2% in Nevada, according to AtlasIntel and TIPP Insight. In New Hampshire, Harris is ahead by 4.9%. Meanwhile, Trump leads by 0.8% in North Carolina, with recent polls from InsiderAdvantage and Quinnipiac University showing him 1 to 3 points ahead.
The race is highly competitive, especially in key states like Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.
