The big story this week seems to be there really is no story outside of a couple of Oscar nominees gaining ground while a couple of others hardly lose any. Other than that, it’s another soft weekend and one where the top ten can only manage $88 million at the box-office as a collection whole. Did any of you make it to the theater and if so, what did you see, Oscar nominees or new releases?
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 4 Weeks In A Row
|I don’t really have anything to talk about here. There doesn’t seem to be much of a story and this is a very uninteresting film to win the weekend. Perhaps that’s the angle I should be taking, but in fact I have nothing.|
The Rite was made on a $37 million budget and won’t be seeing any profit until it hits DVD and Blu-ray so there’s no story there. I have a hard time imagining it will be able to make much more than $7 million next weekend, if that.
On the user prediction side of things, we were a bit late on Thursday getting the Oracle article online so there weren’t a ton of predictions, but nevertheless, John PT took the top prize with a $14.6 million prediction. Good on yah.
Result: $15 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $19.1 million was $4.1m off for a percentage error of 27.33%.
A 30% drop, which isn’t really all that bad, but it wasn’t as if it was dropping from a massive opening weekend and as someone in the comments yesterday pointed out, dropping 30% without any genre competition isn’t much to brag about.
Result: $13.6 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $11.61 million, which is $1.99m off for a 14.63% error.
It’s a toss up for #3 as The Green Hornet tied with The Mechanic. Your pick as to which one you decide belongs where until actuals come out. The Green Hornet has that pesky $120 million price tag associated with it, which makes the $78 million it has made so far look rather small.
Result: $11.5 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $10.42 million, which is $1.08m off for a 9.39% error.
Reportedly, CBS Films acquired The Mechanic
for only $5 million. I’ve seen a $40 million production budget attached to it so I have no idea how the theatrical earnings will be split among all parties. However, Laremy was quite close and actually closer than any of the predictions on the board, but just by a smidge.
John PT predicted $12.2 million and Ian predicted $10.8 million, which leaves us with a tie. However, if this were Price is Right the win would go to Ian due to John’s overbid… you can argue amongst yourselves for bragging rights.
Result: $11.5 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $10.81 million, which is $0.69m off for a 6% error.
Wowsers, after Friday’s estimated $2.8 million I thought we were looking at a $9 million weekend for the 12 time Oscar nominee, but it took a big jump on Saturday and Sunday and ended up getting a 41% boost over last weekend. A lot of that has to do with Oscar nominations as well as a boost in theaters as it added 877 this weekend.
Result: $11.1 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $8.95 million, which is $2.15m off for a 19.37% error.
Here’s the other Oscar nominee to gain ground from one weekend to the next, though True Grit‘s jump was only 3.7%, but it did so while losing 344 theaters. Not too bad eh?
Result: $7.6 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $4.95 million, which is $2.65m off for a 34.87% error.
For those of you wondering when we’ll get another good movie, I’ve seen two of February’s releases so far and can tell you to keep an eye out for Cedar Rapids
, it’s a fun one.
Result: $5.4 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $4.85 million, which is $0.55m off for a 10.19% error.
No Oscar bump, per se, for Black Swan, but it did manage to only drop 13% from last weekend.
Result: $5.1 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $4.23 million, which is $0.87m off for a 17.06% error.
The Fighter‘s drop was even smaller at 2.6%. I wonder, if The Fighter wins three SAG Awards tonight (the award is technically called The Actor) as I predict, will it actually enjoy an increase next weekend?
Result: $4 million
Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $2.66 million, which is $1.34m off for a 33.5% error.
I didn’t mention it up above, but True Grit has now made more than Little Fockers. $148.3 million to $144.6 million. That’s something to smile about isn’t it?
Result: $3.1 million
Laremy’s rank: Not Ranked
For those of you wondering about 127 Hours, which added 847 theaters this weekend for a grand total of 916, it ended up making just over $2 million. So there you have it… hash out your thoughts in the comments and perhaps take a stab at what will win next weekend, although I have a feeling all of you will be picking Sanctum over The Roommate.
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