The last $200m + weekend we had was back in January, but there’s a pretty good shot that this weekend will follow suit. It will also be the biggest Potter opening yet, and we could see Danny Boyle’s 127 Hours sneak into tenth place as well. Let’s break this thing down!
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 2 Weeks In A Row
2. Megamind
Shouldn’t be hurt too much by Deathly Halllows: Part One because that film is for an older demographic. The new Potter is also fairly dark, and word of this will give Megamind a little bump on Saturday and Sunday.
Prediction: $19.801 million
For some reason, I’m reminded of Vantage Point, though this one has been marketed far less and must be superior in the entertainment department.
Prediction: $11.538 million
4. Unstoppable
It will face a dip, and more people watched the SNL parody than purchased a ticket last weekend. That’s not going to help the holdover number.
Prediction: $11.117 million
5. Due Date
I’m dipping it 48 percent and moving on to the far more interesting …
Prediction: $8.017 million
6. Skyline
The bright side: creative people working on films with $10m production budget. The downside is that the “story” aspect seems to have been completely left out.
Prediction: $5.495 million
An undeniably cute film, but without Rachel McAdams none of it would have worked.
Prediction: $5.107 million
Should see a better hold this weekend, but coming down from 66 percent is no real achievement.
Prediction: $3.128 million
9. Red
It feels like Red has been in the top ten forever. But this will only be the sixth weekend in a row.
Prediction: $2.778 million
10. 127 Hours
I haven’t found the theater counts yet, I’m writing this early due to travel plans, but the per theater average indicates that anything near 200 theaters will put this in the top ten.
Prediction: $2.015 million
How say you? Like a smaller number for Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I? Have anything interesting to add on The Next Three Days? Is my math all wonky on 127 Hours? Here’s your chance to lash out or build bridges, Brad will be with you on Sunday to recap the action.
