It looks like 75 percent of you were right, Date Night seems to have held off Clash of the Titans. We knew it would be close, and it was, with Date Night evidently pulling out the victory by less than 50k tickets sold.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
It fell 1.1 percent more than I figured it would. It’s looking at a $150m domestic run, with the international results determining the overall financial health.
Result: $26.8 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #1 with $27.74 million, which is $0.94m off for a 3.51% variance.
It only fell 12.6 percent! That is nice word of mouth. $256m worldwide on a production budget of $165m, so still work to do, but the holdover is really helping.
Result: $25.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $21.03 million, which is $4.27m off for a 16.88% variance.
A 62 percent drop, fairly typical for this level of front-loading. Still, if you can make a film with this appeal for $20m you should get on it.
Result: $11 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $13.18 million, which is $2.18m off for a 19.82% variance.
Don’t look now but The Last Song fell only 38 percent. Counterargument: that still was the third worst drop of the weekend. Overall, the weekend fell 27 percent from last weekend, and it was slightly worse than April ’09 when Hannah Montana took the crown with $32m.
Result: $10 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $7.21 million, which is $2.79m off for a 27.9% variance.
Looks like it will hit $800m in worldwide cume. A win for Disney, and Tim Burton is the guest host of this year’s Cannes Film Festival. Everything is turning up roses, eh?
Result: $5.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.66 million, which is $1.94m off for a 34.64% variance.
I want to throw Craig Robinson out there as a potential lead. He’s good in everything he does, The Office, this, and Pineapple Express.
Result: $5.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $4.75 million, which is $0.65m off for a 12.04% variance.
Why doesn’t a film like The Bounty Hunter bank internationally? Is comedy specific to culture? Or are the distribution methods not there?
Result: $4.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $3.4 million, which is $0.9m off for a 20.93% variance.
$53m on a $15m budget. Very nice.
Result: $4.1 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.75 million, which is $1.35m off for a 32.93% variance.
10. Letters to God
Clearly, I was too bullish. But considering they spent nada in marketing and the production budget was $3m it might work out for ’em.
Result: $1.1 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $2.24 million, which is $1.14m off for a 103.64% variance.
How say you? Many of y’all had Date Night cracking $30m, did the $27.1m result surprise you? Are people over Clash? And can we expect another strong hold from How to Train Your Dragon? Comment early, comment often.