Box-Office Mojo has updated the Friday box-office estimates and it looks like Martin Scorsese’s Shutter Island (read my review here) holds a larger lead than previously estimated $6.6 million on Friday. But this slightly lower number than previously reported makes me think it won’t crack $20 million for the weekend. Looking at the film’s performance in its opening frame it is more likely to end around $19 million. However, my once thought competition at the top looks to be dashed as Cop Out‘s numbers are much lower than previously thought.
Last night Nikki Finke’s early estimates had Cop Out (read my review here) securing $6.2 million on Friday but it is now down to $5.975 million for Friday. This is likely to translate to about $16-17 million for the weekend, much lower than the $23 million predicted by RopeofSilicon Box-Office Oracle Laremy Legel. I still wouldn’t be surprised if Smith’s dedicated fanbase helps it to slighlty larger nuimbers over the weekend, but I’m not holding my breath.
Interesting enough, the weekend’s other wide opener was Overture’s The Crazies (read my review here), an excellent action-horror feature that so far has earned a 71% from critics at RottenTomatoes and managed an estimated $5.970 million on Friday. I now wonder if it’s possible for this film to leap frog Cop Out and take second. However, my assumption is we are looking at something like a $15 million weekend.
The updated numbers are listed directly below and Laremy will be here on Sunday with a complete wrap-up. You can read his Box-Office predictions for this week right here and browse the RopeofSilicon box-office charts here.
- Shutter Island – $6.6 million
- Cop Out – $5.975 million
- The Crazies – $5.970 million
- Avatar – $3.1 million
- Valentine’s Day – $2.9 million
- Percy Jackson – $2.4 million
- Dear John – $1.5 million
- The Wolfman – $1.1 million
- Tooth Fairy – $730,000
- Crazy Heart – $610,000
