First off, Laremy is at the Olympics this weekend so I am taking over Box-Office Wrap-Up duties. Secondly, Laremy performed admirably this week by placing eight of the top ten accurately and had Crazy Heart and From Paris with Love switched places it would have been ten-for-ten. Let’s take a look at how things shaped out.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 2 Weeks In A Row
“Oscar Smarty” just wrote on my Friday estimates article, “So what VALENTINES DAY dropped hugely. It still is a huge success for that movie.” Monetarily that’s an accurate statement as its reported worldwide earnings are now up to $122 million. However, if I made a film that hit the $122 million mark and held a 17% rating at RottenTomatoes I’m not sure how high I would hold my head.
Result: $17.1 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #2 with $26.6 million, which is $9.5m off for a percentage error of 55.56%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #2 with $26.6 million, which is $9.5m off for a percentage error of 55.56%.
3. Avatar
A lot has been said about Avatar already… so I really have nothing more to add other than to point out it is now over $2.4 billion worldwide… which is a lot of money.
Result: $16.1 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #3 with $17.7 million, which is $1.6m off for a percentage error of 9.94%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #3 with $17.7 million, which is $1.6m off for a percentage error of 9.94%.
I wonder how this film will do internationally. Fox’s Eragon did poorly domestically and then earned an additional $174 in foreign dollars only to never see a sequel. Is the same thing likely to happen here?
Result: $15.3 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #4 with $17.4 million, which is $2.1m off for a percentage error of 13.73%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #4 with $17.4 million, which is $2.1m off for a percentage error of 13.73%.
5. The Wolfman
I don’t see a sequel here, but Howard Stern’s recommendation they forget about reality and go back to the old school idea of having the Wolfman take on unexpected foes sounds great. His suggestions included Wolfman vs. Spider-Man and Wolfman vs. Mike Tyson, the latter of which has to be a $100 million idea if you ask me and I bet Tyson would do it.
Result: $9.8 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #5 with $13.8 million, which is $4m off for a percentage error of 40.82%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #5 with $13.8 million, which is $4m off for a percentage error of 40.82%.
6. Dear John
I have to assume Summit is hoping their Letters to Juliet performs similar to Dear John and I’m sure Disney is praying for similar returns with The Last Song. However, while both of those will most likely be equally schmaltzy neither has the Channing Tatum factor, which, as I understand it, is quite a big deal for the ladies.
Result: $7.3 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #6 with $9.1 million, which is $1.8m off for a percentage error of 24.66%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #6 with $9.1 million, which is $1.8m off for a percentage error of 24.66%.
After Planet 51, this was the second film in a row from The Rock that I skipped and Race to Witch Mountain I wish I’d skipped. However, Faster sounds like it could be pretty good.
Result: $4.5 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #7 with $4.7 million, which is $0.2m off for a percentage error of 4.44%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #7 with $4.7 million, which is $0.2m off for a percentage error of 4.44%.
8. Crazy Heart
From out of the blue this one has become the weekly fan favorite and is now up to $21 million and on its way to, I would say, two Oscars (song and actor). Kudos.
Result: $3 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #9 with $3.25 million, which is $0.25m off for a percentage error of 8.33%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #9 with $3.25 million, which is $0.25m off for a percentage error of 8.33%.
I enjoyed this film and found it to be a lot of fun. However, it appears it won’t be looked at as a box-office success with a reported $51 million budget and only $21 million at the box-office to date. Too bad.
Result: $2.5 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #8 with $3.3 million, which is $0.8m off for a percentage error of 32%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #8 with $3.3 million, which is $0.8m off for a percentage error of 32%.
10. Edge of Darkness
Nothing to say here at the end other than if you didn’t like my version of the wrap-up Laremy will be back next week.
Result: $2.2 million
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #10 with $2.9 million, which is $0.7m off for a percentage error of 31.82%.
Laremy’s rank: He picked it to finish #10 with $2.9 million, which is $0.7m off for a percentage error of 31.82%.
So there it is, weigh in with your thoughts below. This week’s most accurate predictor of the top spot was “chris_sc77” with a $40.7 million prediction for Shutter Island, but many of you were way below that, even some calls for $20 million. Is Shutter‘s performance that much of a surprise?
