It was a big weekend, I was waaaaaay too low. Did people on the east coast shovel themselves out and see three movies? Were youngsters more fired up about Percy Jackson than I expected? Are couples going to see a Valentine’s Day movie, no matter the quality? The answer is clearly “yes.” Let’s break it down.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Weeks In A Row
By now you’re noticing the new format, yes? We’re going to start tracking variance going forward, my overall goal is to stay in the 20% range. Not great on the first two films, eh? Judging by the comments, most of you knew something about Percy Jackson that I didn’t — namely, that children would attend.
Result: $31.1 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $16.8 million, which is $14.3m off for a percentage error of 45.98%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $16.8 million, which is $14.3m off for a percentage error of 45.98%.
3. The Wolfman
A nice weekend for Wolfman too. Once The Olympic ratings come on the picture will be complete. Perhaps it was just a weekend for all types of entertainment?
Result: $30.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $24.2 million, which is $6.4m off for a percentage error of 20.92%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $24.2 million, which is $6.4m off for a percentage error of 20.92%.
4. Avatar
A 3.7 percent drop in its ninth weekend?? C’mon, that’s just insane.
Result: $22 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $13.3 million, which is $8.7m off for a percentage error of 39.55%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $13.3 million, which is $8.7m off for a percentage error of 39.55%.
5. Dear John
Bright side: This was the biggest drop of the weekend. I’ll take solace wherever I can.
Result: $15.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $17.1 million, which is $1.8m off for a percentage error of 11.76%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $17.1 million, which is $1.8m off for a percentage error of 11.76%.
The little human films were heavily represented. It wasn’t just a weekend for romance, it was evidently a weekend for family, too. Must be the President’s Day effect?
Result: $5.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.6 million, which is $2m off for a percentage error of 35.71%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.6 million, which is $2m off for a percentage error of 35.71%.
Right now this project is massively underwater. As in $40m in losses underwater. Yeeps.
Result: $4.7 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $4.2 million, which is $0.5m off for a percentage error of 10.64%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $4.2 million, which is $0.5m off for a percentage error of 10.64%.
Not sure how I botched this prediction, I promise to do better next weekend.
Result: $4.5 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $2.65 million, which is $1.85m off for a percentage error of 41.11%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $2.65 million, which is $1.85m off for a percentage error of 41.11%.
9. Crazy Heart
Solid! At least 500,000 Americans have my back.
Result: $4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.63 million, which is $1.37m off for a percentage error of 34.25%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.63 million, which is $1.37m off for a percentage error of 34.25%.
10. When in Rome
It’s not that I don’t appreciate “escape cinema.” I do. The issue is that it’s impossible to escape if you’ve seen it a dozen times before. Luckily, we won’t be seeing When in Rome around The Oracle article ever again.
Result: $3.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $2.2 million, which is $1.2m off for a percentage error of 35.29%.
My rank: I picked it to finish #10 with $2.2 million, which is $1.2m off for a percentage error of 35.29%.
And that’s the way it was. Only one wide release out next weekend, and we should see a major drop from these holiday numbers.
How say you? Any surprises? Did you see any of the winners? Can you see a Percy Jackson sequel in our future?
