Box-Office Wrap-Up: Dec. 4 – Dec. 6, 2009

Nick, Miley Fan’s first guess, and JM were the closest calls on the board, correctly prognosticating a near 50 percent drop for The Blind Side. I was lured in by last weekend’s strong showing, underestimating the general public’s last weekend off before a flood of huge movies.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 6 Weeks In A Row
Still, I’ll take the win. And I stand by my “Bullock gets an Oscar nom” prediction.
Result: 20.4 million (My rank: #1, $9.7m off)
It fell almost 70 percent again. It’s an interesting dilemma for Summit because it looks like this franchise is only going to get more frontloaded as we reach 2010 – 2011.
Result: 15.7 million (My rank: #2, $2.3m off)
A little over a million people were willing to risk depression to buy a ticket here. It’s not like I’m against sad movies… just sad ones without much of a point or plot cohesion.
Result: 9.7 million (My rank: #7, $2.4m off)
The international haul isn’t going to be massive because a majority of the world doesn’t celebrate Christmas. So that’s a developing problem for this little cash sinkhole.
Result: 7.5 million (My rank: #5, $1.0m off)
From $17m to $7m, this just must be a bad movie. Anyone out there seen it and want to share?
Result: 6.9 million (My rank: #4, $2.4m off)
6. 2012
It fell about the same as Old Dogs… but it’s also hit $600m worldwide cume. That’s good for the fourth best result of the year.
Result: 6.6 million (My rank: #3, $4.5m off)
I think the marketing was off. People weren’t sure what it was… and so they stayed away.
Result: 6.6 million (My rank: #10, $.3m off)
Another massive drop from opening weekend, and with a somewhat hefty $40m production budget.
Result: 5.0 million (My rank: #6, $2.3m off)
Historically, I’m usually under on my predictions. This week was clearly different, I was far too kind to these films.
Result: 4.3 million (My rank: #8, $2.1m off)
The first weekend since October where the top twelve will finish under $100m cume. Y’all clearly stayed away.
Result: 4.0 million (My rank: #9, $2.4m off)

So let’s hear it. Any surprises? You want to start throwing out numbers on the biggest titles left for the year? That’s right friends, we’ve got Nine, Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, Princess and the Frog, Invictus and Lovely Bones about to make our December bright. Hang in there!

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