#1 movie predicted correctly: 12 Weeks in a Row
1. Avatar
I’m dipping it 20 percent. That’s more than last week, slightly counter-intuitive given the film has been out six weeks, but this one has to revert to a normal trendline sooner or later. Plus, 20 percent isn’t exactly a massive drop, is it? Even given the potential of a Golden Globe bump?
Estimate: $31.3 million
Only three films will have over 3,000 theaters this weekend. This is one of them. I see it making Pacifier-like numbers, though maybe a little smaller, because the trailer looks absolutely brutal.
Estimate: $21.0 million
3. Legion
This feels like a release that will double its earnings internationally, just like Constantine. But only getting 2,400 theaters means it won’t be able to mount a serious charge for the top spot.
Estimate: $19.0 million
I liked it. Is that why I’m dropping it only 44 percent? Yeah. That and the lack of new release competition, although I suppose Legion would be considered in the same demo.
Estimate: $18.4 million
The people seeing this have to be doing it for the laughs. I mean, the trailer… yikes.
Estimate: $11.8 million
It should follow a normal dip now that it’s wide. So far, $28m worldwide on a production budget of $65m isn’t ideal.
Estimate: $9.4 million
It will out-earn the original this weekend. I suppose we haven’t learned our lessons, have we?
Estimate: $7.4 million
I’m tempted to think they’ll receive a little Golden Globe bump due to Downey Jr.’s win. But it almost seemed like Downey himself won the award, outside of the film.
Estimate: $5.4 million
Meryl Streep was another instance of a person winning, kinda sorta overlooking the performance.
Estimate: $5.3 million
Has anyone seen a production budget here? It had to have been somewhat hefty, I can’t think that Jackie Chan signed on for peanuts.
Estimate: $4.7 million
So what do you think? Anyone out there gutsy enough to pick The Tooth Fairy over Avatar… and mean it? Weigh in below.
