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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 27 - 30, 2011
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 5.26.11)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

The Hangover Part II

$94.6

N/A

3,615

$26,169

1

2

New

Kung Fu Panda 2

$83.2

N/A

3,925

$21,197

1

3

1

Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides

$49.0

-46%

4,164

$11,768

1

4

2

Bridesmaids

$17.7

-15%

2,957

$5,986

2

5

3

Thor

$10.5

-30%

3,296

$3,186

3

6

4

Fast Five

$7.5

-32%

2,975

$2,521

4

7

5

Rio

$3.0

-36%

1,672

$1,794

6

8

7

Jumping the Broom

$2.5

-34%

939

$2,662

3

9

8

Something Borrowed

$2.3

-35%

1,440

$1,597

3

10

6

Priest

$2.1

-56%

1,918

$1,095

2

Est. Weekend Total
$272.40

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 36%

Est. Average PTA
$7,797



COMPARISONS:

THE HANGOVER PART II (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Hangover

6/5/09

3,269

$44.98

$13,759

$277.37

Due Date

11/5/10

3,355

$32.69

$9,743

$100.54

Starsky and Hutch

3/5/04

3,185

$28.10

$8,824

$88.20

Old School

2/21/03

2,689

$17.45

$6,491

$75.16

Road Trip

5/19/00

2,530

$15.48

$6,119

$68.53

Limitless

3/18/11

2,756

$18.91

$6,860

$77.27

The A-Team

6/11/10

3,535

$25.67

$7,262

$77.22

Valentine's Day

2/12/10

3,665

$56.26

$15,351

$110.46

All About Steve

9/4/09

2,251

$11.24

$4,994

$33.86

He's Just Not That Into You

2/6/09

3,175

$27.79

$8,751

$93.93

Wedding Crashers

7/15/05

2,925

$33.90

$11,590

$209.22

Bruce Almighty

5/23/03

3,483

$85.73

$24,614

$242.60

The Longest Yard

5/27/05

3,634

$58.61

$16,129

$158.12

Sex and the City 2

5/27/10

3,445

$14.21

$36.80

$10,692

$95.33

Sex and the City

5/30/08

3,285

$56.85

$17,305

$152.65



KUNG FU PANDA 2 (DreamWorks Animation/Paaramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Kung Fu Panda

6/6/08

4,114

$60.24

$14,642

$215.44

Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa

11/7/08

4,056

$63.10

$15,559

$180.01

Madagascar

5/27/05

4,131

$61.01

$14,769

$193.14

Shrek Forever After

5/21/10

4,359

$70.84

$16,251

$238.32

Shrek the Third

5/18/07

4,122

$0.91

$121.63

$29,507

$320.71

Shrek 2

5/21/04

4,163

$20.95

$108.04

$25,952

$436.47

Shrek

5/18/01

3,587

$0.04

$42.35

$11,805

$267.65

Monsters vs. Aliens

3/27/09

4,104

$59.32

$14,454

$198.35

Shark Tale

10/1/04

4,016

$47.60

$11,854

$160.76



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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