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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 20 - 22, 2011
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 5.19.11)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides

$91.5

N/A

4,155

$22,022

1

2

1

Thor

$18.0

-48%

3,924

$4,587

3

3

2

Bridesmaids

$17.0

-34%

2,937

$5,788

2

4

3

Fast Five

$11.5

-45%

3,624

$3,173

4

5

4

Priest

$6.1

-58%

2,864

$2,130

2

6

5

Rio

$5.0

-45%

2,593

$1,928

6

7

7

Something Borrowed

$3.8

-47%

2,606

$1,458

3

8

6

Jumping the Broom

$3.5

-48%

1,472

$2,378

3

9

8

Water for Elephants

$2.3

-45%

1,894

$1,214

5

10

10

Soul Surfer

$1.2

-35%

984

$1,220

6

Est. Weekend Total
$159.90

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 45%

Est. Average PTA
$4,590



COMPARISONS:

PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: ON STRANGER TIDES (Walt Disney Pictures)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Rango

3/4/11

3,917

$38.08

$9,722

$120.50

The Tourist

12/10/10

2,756

$16.47

$5,977

$67.63

Alice in Wonderland

3/5/10

3,728

$116.10

$31,143

$333.64

Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

12/21/07

1,249

$9.30

$7,447

$52.90

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

5/25/07

4,362

$13.24

$114.73

$26,303

$309.40

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

7/7/06

4,133

$135.62

$32,817

$423.27

Charlie and the Chocolate Factory

7/15/05

3,770

$56.18

$14,901

$206.46

Finding Neverland

11/12/04

513

$3.08

$4.67

$9,104

$51.68

Secret Window

3/12/04

3,018

$18.24

$6,043

$47.78

Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

7/11/03

3,269

$24.00

$46.63

$14,264

$305.41

Blow

4/6/01

2,249

$12.44

$5,535

$52.94

Sleepy Hollow

11/19/99

3,062

$30.06

$9,817

$101.07

Nine

12/18/09

1,412

$0.38

$5.52

$3,862

$19.70

Memoirs of a Geisha

12/9/05

1,547

$3.34

$6.75

$4,364

$56.48

Chicago

2/7/03

1,841

$53.02

$10.79

$5,859

$170.68

Vicky Christina Barcelona

8/15/08

692

$3.76

$5,427

$23.21

Gothika

11/21/03

2,382

$19.29

$8,097

$58.95

Vanilla Sky

12/14/01

2,742

$25.02

$9,123

$100.40

The Sorcerer's Apprentice

7/14/10

3,504

$17.62

$5,028

$63.14

Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time

5/28/10

3,646

$30.10

$8,254

$90.76



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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