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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 13 - 15, 2011
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 5.12.11)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

1

Thor

$34.5

-48%

3,665

$9,277

2

2

New

Bridesmaids

$25.0

N/A

2,830

$8,570

1

3

New

Priest

$18.3

N/A

3,100

$6,390

1

4

2

Fast Five

$16.5

-501%

3,650

$4,521

3

5

3

Jumping the Broom

$8.1

-45%

2,045

$4,108

2

6

4

Something Borrowed

$7.7

-45%

2,904

$2,646

2

7

5

Rio

$5.3

-37%

2,850

$1,860

5

8

6

Water for Elephants

$3.5

-43%

2,300

$1,522

4

9

7

Tyler Perry's Madea's Big Happy Family

$2.0

-52%

1,950

$1,026

4

10

9

Soul Surfer

$1.5

-38%

1,781

$786

5

Est. Weekend Total
$122.40

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 45%

 

Est. Average PTA
$4,101

 


COMPARISONS:

BRIDESMAIDS (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Paul

3/18/11

2,802

$13.04

$4,655

$36.94

MacGruber

5/21/10

2,551

$4.04

$1,585

$8.46

Adventureland

4/3/09

1,862

$5.72

$3,073

$16.04

Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story

12/21/07

2,650

$4.17

$1,575

$18.32

Get Him to the Greek

6/4/10

2,697

$17.57

$6,515

$60.92

Forgetting Sarah Marshall

4/18/08

2,798

$17.73

$6,335

$63.17

Funny People

7/31/09

3,007

$22.66

$7,535

$51.81

Superbad

8/17/07

2,948

$33.05

$11,212

$121.46

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

The 40 Year Old Virgin

8/19/05

2,845

$21.42

$7,530

$109.24

Unaccompanied Minors

12/8/06

2,775

$5.83

$2,096

$16.65

No Strings Attached

1/21/11

3,018

$19.67

$6,512

$70.60

Going the Distance

9/3/10

3,030

$6.88

$2,272

$17.80

Wedding Crashers

7/15/05

2,925

$33.90

$11,590

$209.22



PRIEST (Sony/Screen Gems)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Legion

1/22/10

2,476

$17.50

$7,069

$40.12

Underworld: Rise of the Lycans

1/23/09

2,942

$20.83

$7,080

$45.80

Underworld: Evolution

1/20/06

3,207

$26.86

$8,374

$62.32

Underworld

9/19/03

2,915

$21.75

$7,462

$51.48

Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D

9/10/10

3,203

$26.65

$8,320

$59.73

Resident Evil: Extinction

9/21/07

2,828

$23.68

$8,373

$50.65

Resident Evil: Apocalypse

9/10/04

3,284

$23.04

$7,015

$50.74

Resident Evil

3/15/02

2,528

$17.71

$7,004

$39.53

Ultraviolet

3/3/06

2,558

$9.06

$3,544

$18.52

The Book of Eli

1/15/10

3,111

$32.79

$10,540

$94.84

I Am Legend

12/14/07

3,606

$77.21

$21,412

$256.39

Daybreakers

1/8/10

2,523

$15.15

$6,003

$30.10



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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