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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 3 - 5, 2011
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 6.2.11)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

X-Men: First Class

$72.6

N/A

3,500

$19,940

1

2

1

The Hangover Part II

$40.0

-54%

3,615

$11,065

2

3

2

Kung Fu Panda 2

$26.5

-45%

3,925

$6,705

2

4

3

Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides

$18.1

-54%

3,800

$4,564

3

5

4

Bridesmaids

$12.4

-25%

2,980

$4,252

4

6

5

Thor

$4.8

-49%

2,950

$1,727

5

7

6

Fast Five

$3.4

-49%

2,850

$1,520

6

8

7

Midnight in Paris

$2.8

45%

110

$19,048

3

9

10

Something Borrowed

$1.0

-47%

1,300

$1,453

8

10

10

Rio

$.90

-48%

1,300

$1,310

8

Est. Weekend Total
$182.50

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 40%

Est. Average PTA
$7,158



COMPARISONS:

X-MEN: FIRST CLASS (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

X-Men Origins: Wolverine

5/1/09

4,099

$85.06

$20,751

$179.88

X-Men: The Last Stand

5/26/06

3,690

$122.86

$27,846

$234.36

X2: X-Men United

5/2/03

3,741

$85.56

$22,871

$214.95

The X-Men

7/14/00

3,025

$54.47

$18,007

$157.30

The Conspirator

4/15/11

707

$3.51

$4,960

$11.17

Gnomeo and Juliet

2/11/01

2,994

$25.36

$8,469

$99.48

The Last Station

1/15/10

3

$0.44

$24,574

$6.62

Wanted

6/27/08

3,174

$50.93

$16,040

$134.29

Atonement

12/7/07

950

$20.90

$4.22

$4,444

$50.98

The Last King of Scotland

9/29/06

495

$3.73

$1.61

$3,252

$17.61

Jonah Hex

6/18/10

2,825

$5.38

$1,904

$10.54

300

3/9/07

3,109

$70.89

$22,844

$210.61

Kick-Ass

4/16/10

3,065

$19.83

$6,469

$48.04

Stardust

8/10/07

2,540

$9.17

$3,610

$38.63

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer

6/15/07

3,957

$58.05

$14,670

$131.92

Fantastic Four

7/8/05

3,602

$56.06

$15,564

$154.70

Batman Begins

6/17/05

3,858

$24.15

$48.75

$12,635

$205.09

Casino Royale

11/17/06

3,434

$40.83

$11,891

$167.37

Star Trek

5/8/09

3,849

$79.20

$20,578

$257.70



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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