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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 24 - 26, 2011
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Cars 2

$67.2

N/A

3,920

$17,143

1

2

New

Bad Teacher

$26.3

N/A

3,100

$8,494

1

3

1

Green Lantern

$20.2

-62%

3,816

$5,294

2

4

2

Super 8

$12.8

-41%

3,200

$4,000

3

5

3

Mr. Popper's Penguins

$10.0

-45%

3,338

$2,996

2

6

4

X-Men: First Class

$6.3

-44%

3,000

$2,100

4

7

5

The Hangover: Part II

$5.5

-44%

3,000

$1,833

5

8

7

Bridesmaids

$5.0

-30%

2,100

$2,381

7

9

6

Kung Fu Panda 2

$4.6

-48%

3,000

$1,533

5

10

8

Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides

$3.5

-44%

2,500

$1,400

6

Est. Weekend Total
$161.20

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 46%

Est. Average PTA
$4,711



COMPARISONS:

CARS 2(Disney•Pixar)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Cars

6/9/06

3,985

$60.12

$15,086

$244.08

Toy Story 3

6/18/10

4,028

$110.31

$27,385

$414.64

Toy Story 2

11/24/99

3,236

$0.38

$57.39

$17,735

$245.82

Toy Story

11/24/95

2,457

$29.14

$11,860

$191.78

Kung Fu Panda 2

5/26/11

3,925

$5.80

$47.66

$12,142

$126.83

Kung Fu Panda

6/6/08

4,114

$60.24

$14,642

$215.44

Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa

11/7/08

4,056

$63.10

$15,559

$180.01

Madagascar

5/27/05

4,131

$47.22

$14,769

$193.14

Up

5/29/09

3,766

$68.11

$18,805

$293.00

WALL•E

6/27/08

3992

$63.09

$15,803

$223.81

Ratatouille

6/29/07

3,940

$47.03

$11,936

$206.45

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

7/1/09

4,032

$25.04

$41.69

$10,171

$195.57

Ice Age: the Meltdown

3/31/06

3,964

$68.03

$17,163

$195.33

Ice Age

3/15/02

3,316

$46.30

$13,966

$176.39



BAD TEACHER (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Green Hornet

1/14/11

3,584

$33.53

$9.325

$98.78

Knight and Day

6/23/10

3,098

$20.14

$6,501

$76.42

What Happens in Vegas

5/9/08

3,215

$20.17

$6,274

$80.28

The Sweetest Thing

4/12/02

2,670

$9.43

$3,745

$24.43

There's Something About Mary

7/17/98

2,186

$4.06

$13.74

$6,285

$176.48

I Love You, Man

3/20/09

2,711

$17.18

$6,570

$71.14

Forgetting Sarah Marshall

4/18/08

2,798

$17.73

$6,335

$63.17

The Love Guru

6/20/08

3,012

$13.91

$4,617

$32.18

Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story

12/21/07

2,650

$4.17

$1,575

$18.32

Dinner for Schmucks

7/30/10

2,911

$23.53

$8,082

$73.03

Role Models

11/7/08

2,792

$19.17

$6,865

$67.30

Bad Santa

11/28/03

2,005

$4.51

$12.29

$6,131

$59.43



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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