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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for July 8 - 10, 2011
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

1

Transformers: Dark of the Moon

$46.0

-53%

4,011

$11,468

2

2

New

Horrible Bosses

$28.4

N/A

3,010

$9,435

1

3

New

Zookeeper

$25.6

N/A

3,450

$7,420

1

4

2

Cars 2

$13.0

-48%

4,100

$3,171

3

5

3

Bad Teacher

$8.0

-43%

3,055

$2,619

3

6

4

Larry Crowne

$7.2

-45%

2,770

$2,599

2

7

5

Super 8

$4.5

-40%

2,850

$1,579

5

8

6

Monte Carlo

$3.5

-54%

2,472

$1,416

2

9

8

Mr. Popper's Penguins

$3.1

-39%

2,650

$1,170

4

10

7

Green Lantern

$2.8

-55%

2,800

$1,000

4

Est. Weekend Total
$142.10

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 47%

Est. Average PTA
$4,188



COMPARISONS:

HORRIBLE BOSSES (New Line/WB)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Just Go With It

2/11/11

3,548

$30.51

$8,601

$103.03

The Switch

8/20/10

2,012

$8.44

$4,193

$27.76

The Bounty Hunter

3/19/10

3,074

$20.69

$6,729

$67.06

The Break-Up

6/2/06

3,070

$39.17

$12,760

$118.81

Along Came Polly

1/16/04

2,984

$27.21

$9,290

$87.86

Couples Retreat

10/9/09

3,000

$34.29

$11,429

$108.96

Extract

9/4/09

1,611

$4.34

$2,694

$10.82

Hall Pass

2/25/11

2,950

$13.54

$4,588

$45.05

Going the Distance

9/3/10

3,030

$6.88

$2,272

$17.80

Four Christmases

11/26/08

3,310

$14.98

$31.07

$9,387

$120.14

Due Date

11/5/10

3,355

$32.69

$9,743

$100.54

Wedding Crashers

7/15/05

2,925

$33.90

$11,590

$209.22



ZOOKEEER (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Paul Blart: Mall Cop

1/16/09

3,144

$31.83

$10,125

$142.79

The Dilemma

1/14/11

2,940

$17.82

$6,060

$48.47

Grown Ups

6/25/10

3,534

$40.51

$11,462

$162.00

I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry

7/20/07

3,495

$34.23

$9,795

$119.68

Hitch

2/11/05

3,575

$43.14

$12,068

$177.58

Dr. Dolittle 2

6/22/01

3,049

$25.04

$8,212

$112.89

Doctor Dolittle

6/26/98

2,777

$29.01

$10,447

$144.14

Alvin and the Chipmnks: The Squeakquel

12/23/09

3,700

$26.71

$48.88

$13,210

$219.61

Alvin and the Chipmunks

12/14/07

3,475

$44.31

$12,750

$217.33

Hop

4/1/01

3,579

$37.54

$10,490

$108.01

Charlotte's Web

12/15/06

3,566

$11.46

$3,213

$82.60

Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa

11/7/08

4056

$63.10

$15,559

$180.01

Madagascar

5/27/05

4,131

$47.22

$14,769

$193.14



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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