Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for January 21 - 23, 2011
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

No Strings Attached

$20.7

N/A

2,870

$7,213

1

2

1

The Green Hornet

$17.8

-47%

3,570

$4,986

2

3

2

The Dilemma

$9.8

-45%

2,930

$3,345

2

4

3

True Grit

$7.1

-35%

3,000

$2,367

5

5

4

The King's Speech

$6.6

-28%

1,600

$4,125

7

6

5

Black Swan

$6.0

-30%

2,400

$2,500

8

7

6

Little Fockers

$4.0

-45%

2,950

$1,356

5

8

9

The Fighter

$3.5

-31%

2,350

$1,489

6

9

7

Yogi Bear

$3.1

-42%

2,350

$1,319

6

10

8

TRON: Legacy

$3.0

-47%

2,000

$1,500

6

Est. Weekend Total
$81.60

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 44%

Est. Average PTA
$3,020



COMPARISONS:

NO STRINGS ATTACHED (Paramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Killers

6/4/10

2,859

$15.84

$5,539

$47.00

Valentine's Day

2/12/10

3,665

$56.26

$15,351

$110.46

What Happens in Vegas

5/9/08

3,215

$20.17

$6,274

$80.28

Guess Who

3/25/05

3,147

$20.67

$6,569

$67.96

Just Married

1/10/03

2,766

$17.55

$6,345

$56.13

The Other Boleyn Girl

2/29/08

1,166

$8.20

$7,035

$26.81

V for Vendetta

3/17/06

3,365

$25.65

$7,620

$70.51

Closer

12/3/04

476

$7.71

$16,193

$33.99

Garden State

7/28/04

652

$3.50

$3.02

$4,633

$26.78

Going the Distance

9/3/10

3,030

$6.88

$2,272

$17.80

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

When Harry Met Sally

7/21/89

775

$3.28

$8.85

$11,419

$92.25


Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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